Salernitana vs Sorrento: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Salernitana welcome Sorrento to Stadio Arechi for a Serie C Girone C fixture on Monday 24 August (20:00 WAT). In the table, Salernitana are 14th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Sorrento are 9th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Salernitana, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Scafatese, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Sorrento, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Giugliano, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Salernitana, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Sorrento.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Salernitana 1.8 xG, Sorrento 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Salernitana 63%, draw 22%, Sorrento 15%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Salernitana 1–0 Sorrento. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Salernitana63%fair 1.58 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.65
Sorrento15%fair 6.68 · @5.60
2.54Expected goals
1.81Salernitana xG
0.73Sorrento xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Salernitana 1.8 – 0.7 Sorrento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salernitana to win✗
63%
1.58
1.53
Double chance
Salernitana or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.00
Draw no bet
Salernitana (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Salernitana -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Salernitana to score first
66%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Salernitana ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Salernitana / FT Salernitana✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Salernitana – last 6
LWLDWW
15 Aug
vs Scafatese
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Sambiase
2–1
W
27 May
@ Union Brescia
0–2
L
24 May
vs Union Brescia
1–1
D
20 May
@ Ravenna
2–0
W
17 May
vs Ravenna
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sorrento – last 6
DWDLLL
16 Aug
@ Giugliano
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Team Altamura
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Crotone
2–2
D
15 Mar
@ Audace Cerignola
2–3
L
8 Mar
vs Benevento
0–2
L
5 Mar
@ Latina
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Salernitana and Sorrento.
What is the prediction for Salernitana vs Sorrento?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Salernitana vs Sorrento?
On our numbers Salernitana have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sorrento 15%.
How many goals will there be in Salernitana vs Sorrento?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Salernitana vs Sorrento?
Our predicted score is Salernitana 1–0 Sorrento, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Salernitana vs Sorrento?
Salernitana vs Sorrento (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Arechi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
