Casarano vs Barletta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Casarano welcome Barletta to Stadio Giuseppe Capozza for a Serie C Girone C fixture on Friday 11 September (20:00 WAT). In the table, Casarano are 17th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Barletta are 15th (lower half) with 15. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Casarano, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bari, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Barletta, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Crotone, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Barletta, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Casarano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Casarano 2.2 xG, Barletta 2.1 xG – a total near 4.3. That is an open game on paper: 81% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Casarano 42%, draw 21%, Barletta 36%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Casarano 2–2 Barletta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Casarano42%fair 2.36 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.30
Barletta36%fair 2.75 · @3.00
4.33Expected goals
2.25Casarano xG
2.08Barletta xG
68%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–27%
2–17%
1–26%
1–16%
3–25%
3–15%
From our goals model: Casarano 2.2 – 2.1 Barletta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Casarano to win✓
42%
2.36
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.60 ▲
Draw no bet
Casarano (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Barletta +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
First team to score
Casarano to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Casarano ahead at half-time✓
36%
2.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Casarano / FT Casarano✓
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.45
–
Recent results
Casarano – last 6
LWLLDL
5 Sep
@ Bari
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Giugliano
4–3
W
21 Aug
@ Potenza
1–4
L
16 Aug
@ Bari
0–1
L
20 May
@ Union Brescia
0–0
D
17 May
vs Union Brescia
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Barletta – last 6
DWDLLW
5 Sep
@ Crotone
2–2
D
28 Aug
vs Bari
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Casertana
3–3
D
14 Aug
@ AZ Picerno
1–2
L
30 May
@ Vado
0–2
L
24 May
vs Vado
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Casarano and Barletta.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Casarano vs Barletta?
On our numbers Casarano have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barletta 36%.
How many goals will there be in Casarano vs Barletta?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Casarano vs Barletta?
Our predicted score is Casarano 2–2 Barletta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Casarano vs Barletta?
Casarano vs Barletta (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Capozza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
