Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Salernitana to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSalernitana to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceSalernitana or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Salernitana vs Potenza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Salernitana welcome Potenza to Stadio Arechi for a Serie C Girone C fixture on Friday 11 September (20:00 WAT). In the table, Salernitana are 14th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Potenza are 1st (leading the league) with 32. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Salernitana, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cavese, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Potenza, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over SS Monopoli, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Potenza, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Salernitana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Salernitana 1.7 xG, Potenza 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Salernitana 57%, draw 22%, Potenza 21%.
Lower-risk option: Salernitana or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Salernitana to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Salernitana or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Salernitana 1–0 Potenza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Salernitana57%fair 1.75 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.00
Potenza21%fair 4.83 · @3.70
2.67Expected goals
1.74Salernitana xG
0.93Potenza xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Salernitana 1.7 – 0.9 Potenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salernitana to win✓
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Salernitana or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.73
Draw no bet
Salernitana (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Potenza +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Salernitana to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Salernitana / FT Salernitana✓
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Salernitana – last 6
DDLLWL
6 Sep
vs Cavese
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Foggia
1–1
D
24 Aug
vs Sorrento
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Scafatese
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Sambiase
2–1
W
27 May
@ Union Brescia
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Potenza – last 6
WDWWLL
5 Sep
vs SS Monopoli
1–0
W
1 Sep
vs SS Monopoli
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Cosenza
2–1
W
21 Aug
vs Casarano
4–1
W
8 Aug
@ Ascoli
1–3
L
20 May
@ Ascoli
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Salernitana and Potenza.
What is the prediction for Salernitana vs Potenza?
Our pick is Salernitana or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Salernitana vs Potenza?
On our numbers Salernitana have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Potenza 21%.
How many goals will there be in Salernitana vs Potenza?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Salernitana vs Potenza?
Our predicted score is Salernitana 1–0 Potenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Salernitana vs Potenza?
Salernitana vs Potenza (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Arechi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
