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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

SS Monopoli v Crotone: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone C · Italy · Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani
2–2
FT

Crotone

LDDLL
SS Monopoli 45%Draw 25%Crotone 31% Expected goals 0.87 – 0.63
54%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultSS Monopoli to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.15

SS Monopoli vs Crotone: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:30 WAT, Sunday 20 September: SS Monopoli v Crotone in the Serie C Girone C, played at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani. In the table, SS Monopoli are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Crotone are 20th (in the drop zone) with 1. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

SS Monopoli, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Scafatese, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Crotone, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Inter U23, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours SS Monopoli, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Crotone.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended SS Monopoli 1–1 Crotone.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give SS Monopoli 0.9 xG, Crotone 0.6 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – SS Monopoli 45%, draw 25%, Crotone 31%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: SS Monopoli 0–0 Crotone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

SS Monopoli45%fair 2.24 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.80
Crotone31%fair 3.26 · @3.30
1.50Expected goals
0.87SS Monopoli xG
0.63Crotone xG
46%Both score
19%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–022%
1–019%
0–114%
1–112%
2–08%
2–15%

From our goals model: SS Monopoli 0.9 – 0.6 Crotone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSS Monopoli to win ✗45%2.242.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.851.75
Draw no betSS Monopoli (draw no bet)59%1.69–
Asian handicapCrotone +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗93%1.07–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreSS Monopoli to score first45%2.22–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗57%1.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗29%3.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.15–

Recent results

SS Monopoli – last 6

DWLDWL
15 Sep@ Scafatese0–0D
12 Sepvs Foggia1–0W
5 Sep@ Potenza0–1L
1 Sep@ Potenza1–1D
29 Augvs Catania2–0W
24 Aug@ Team Altamura0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Crotone – last 6

LDDLLL
15 Sepvs Inter U230–2L
12 Sep@ Savoia1–1D
5 Sepvs Barletta2–2D
29 Aug@ Sorrento0–1L
24 Augvs Foggia0–1L
16 Augvs Cosenza0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026SS Monopoli v Crotone1–1
SS Monopoli vs Crotone head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Potenza131021+1732
2Bari13652+723
3Catania13715+1322
4Scafatese13562+521
5Audace Cerignola13625+520
6SS Monopoli13553+420
7Inter U2313625+220
8Casertana13553+220
9Sorrento13625+120
10AZ Picerno13616+319
11Cavese13445+116
12Team Altamura13445-616
13Giugliano13517-1216
14Salernitana13364-215
15Barletta13364-215
16Foggia13436-315
17Casarano13436-615
18Savoia13265-712
19Cosenza13247-1310
20Crotone13148-91

More Serie C Girone C predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SS Monopoli vs Crotone?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win SS Monopoli vs Crotone?

On our numbers SS Monopoli have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Crotone 31%.

How many goals will there be in SS Monopoli vs Crotone?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for SS Monopoli vs Crotone?

Our predicted score is SS Monopoli 0–0 Crotone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is SS Monopoli vs Crotone?

SS Monopoli vs Crotone (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.