Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Potenza to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPotenza to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chancePotenza or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Potenza vs Cavese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Serie C Girone C brings Potenza against Cavese at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Potenza are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 13 matches; Cavese are 11th (lower half) with 16. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Potenza, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bari, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Cavese, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sorrento, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Potenza, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Cavese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Potenza 1.9 xG, Cavese 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Potenza 58%, draw 25%, Cavese 17%.
Lower-risk option: Potenza or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Potenza to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Potenza or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Potenza 1–0 Cavese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Potenza58%fair 1.72 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Cavese17%fair 6.04 · @3.40
2.90Expected goals
1.93Potenza xG
0.97Cavese xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Potenza 1.9 – 1.0 Cavese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Potenza to win✓
58%
1.72
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Potenza or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Draw no bet
Potenza (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Cavese +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Potenza to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Potenza ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Potenza / FT Potenza✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Potenza – last 6
DLWDWW
15 Sep
@ Bari
0–0
D
11 Sep
@ Salernitana
2–4
L
5 Sep
vs SS Monopoli
1–0
W
1 Sep
vs SS Monopoli
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Cosenza
2–1
W
21 Aug
vs Casarano
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cavese – last 6
LDDWLL
15 Sep
vs Sorrento
2–3
L
12 Sep
@ Cosenza
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Salernitana
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Audace Cerignola
3–1
W
21 Aug
@ Bari
0–3
L
15 Aug
@ Campobasso FC
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Potenza and Cavese.
Our pick is Potenza or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Potenza vs Cavese?
On our numbers Potenza have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cavese 17%.
How many goals will there be in Potenza vs Cavese?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Potenza vs Cavese?
Our predicted score is Potenza 1–0 Cavese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Potenza vs Cavese?
Potenza vs Cavese (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
