Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultPotenza to win ✓61% · @1.60
Double chancePotenza or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68
Potenza vs AZ Picerno: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Potenza welcome AZ Picerno to Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani for a Serie C Girone C fixture on Sunday 4 October (19:30 WAT). In the table, Potenza are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 13 matches; AZ Picerno are 10th (upper half) with 19. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Potenza, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Barletta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
AZ Picerno, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Audace Cerignola, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Potenza, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for AZ Picerno.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Potenza 2.4 xG, AZ Picerno 1.3 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Potenza 61%, draw 21%, AZ Picerno 19%.
Lower-risk option: Potenza or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Potenza 2–1 AZ Picerno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Potenza61%fair 1.64 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.60
AZ Picerno19%fair 5.37 · @4.60
3.64Expected goals
2.37Potenza xG
1.27AZ Picerno xG
61%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Potenza 2.4 – 1.3 AZ Picerno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Potenza to win✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Double chance
Potenza or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Potenza (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Potenza -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
First team to score
Potenza to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Potenza ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Potenza / FT Potenza✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.68
–
Recent results
Potenza – last 6
WWDLWD
27 Sep
@ Barletta
4–1
W
20 Sep
vs Cavese
4–2
W
15 Sep
@ Bari
0–0
D
11 Sep
@ Salernitana
2–4
L
5 Sep
vs SS Monopoli
1–0
W
1 Sep
vs SS Monopoli
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AZ Picerno – last 6
WLLLWD
26 Sep
vs Audace Cerignola
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Team Altamura
1–2
L
15 Sep
vs Catania
2–4
L
12 Sep
@ Sorrento
0–1
L
7 Sep
vs Inter U23
4–1
W
1 Sep
@ Bari
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Potenza and AZ Picerno.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Potenza vs AZ Picerno?
On our numbers Potenza have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AZ Picerno 19%.
How many goals will there be in Potenza vs AZ Picerno?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Potenza vs AZ Picerno?
Our predicted score is Potenza 2–1 AZ Picerno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Potenza vs AZ Picerno?
Potenza vs AZ Picerno (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
