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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barletta v AZ Picerno: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT
Barletta 62%Draw 21%AZ Picerno 17% Expected goals 2.25 – 1.14
83%
Betarazi pick

Barletta or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.29Odds
1

Value bet: Barletta to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBarletta to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceBarletta or draw ✓83% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28

Barletta vs AZ Picerno: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AZ Picerno travel to face Barletta on Sunday 18 October in the Serie C Girone C – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Barletta are 15th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; AZ Picerno are 10th (upper half) with 19.

Current form

Barletta, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cavese, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

AZ Picerno, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cosenza, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Aug 2026) it ended AZ Picerno 2–1 Barletta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barletta 2.2 xG, AZ Picerno 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barletta 62%, draw 21%, AZ Picerno 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Barletta or draw (83%) at 1.29.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Barletta to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Barletta or draw (83%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barletta 2–1 AZ Picerno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barletta62%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.10
AZ Picerno17%fair 5.72 · @3.30
3.39Expected goals
2.25Barletta xG
1.14AZ Picerno xG
59%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Barletta 2.2 – 1.1 AZ Picerno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarletta to win ✓62%1.631.95 ▲
Double chanceBarletta or draw ✓83%1.211.29 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.681.75
Draw no betBarletta (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapBarletta -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
First team to scoreBarletta to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultBarletta ahead at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barletta / FT Barletta ✗40%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.28–

Recent results

Barletta – last 6

DLLDDL
12 Octvs Cavese1–1D
3 Oct@ Giugliano0–1L
27 Sepvs Potenza1–4L
19 Sep@ Catania0–0D
15 Sepvs Salernitana1–1D
11 Sep@ Casarano1–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

AZ Picerno – last 6

LLWLLL
12 Octvs Cosenza1–2L
4 Oct@ Potenza2–4L
26 Sepvs Audace Cerignola2–1W
19 Sep@ Team Altamura1–2L
15 Sepvs Catania2–4L
12 Sep@ Sorrento0–1L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Aug 2026AZ Picerno v Barletta2–1
Barletta vs AZ Picerno head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Potenza131021+1732
2Bari13652+723
3Catania13715+1322
4Scafatese13562+521
5Audace Cerignola13625+520
6SS Monopoli13553+420
7Inter U2313625+220
8Casertana13553+220
9Sorrento13625+120
10AZ Picerno13616+319
11Cavese13445+116
12Team Altamura13445-616
13Giugliano13517-1216
14Salernitana13364-215
15Barletta13364-215
16Foggia13436-315
17Casarano13436-615
18Savoia13265-712
19Cosenza13247-1310
20Crotone13148-91

More Serie C Girone C predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barletta vs AZ Picerno?

Our pick is Barletta or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Barletta vs AZ Picerno?

On our numbers Barletta have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AZ Picerno 17%.

How many goals will there be in Barletta vs AZ Picerno?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barletta vs AZ Picerno?

Our predicted score is Barletta 2–1 AZ Picerno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Barletta vs AZ Picerno?

Barletta vs AZ Picerno (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.