Durham W 13%Draw 20%Newcastle United W 67%Expected goals 1.14 – 2.61
67%
Betarazi pick
Newcastle United W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultNewcastle United W to win ✓67% · @1.20
Double chanceNewcastle United W or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Durham W vs Newcastle United W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the Women's Championship brings Durham W against Newcastle United W at Maiden Castle. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Durham W are 12th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 7 matches; Newcastle United W are 1st (leading the league) with 19. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Durham W, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Manchester United W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Newcastle United W, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Aston Villa W, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Newcastle United W, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Durham W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Durham W 1.1 xG, Newcastle United W 2.6 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Durham W 13%, draw 20%, Newcastle United W 67%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Newcastle United W to win (67%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Durham W 1–2 Newcastle United W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Durham W13%fair 7.77 · @10.00
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @5.80
Newcastle United W67%fair 1.48 · @1.20
3.75Expected goals
1.14Durham W xG
2.61Newcastle United W xG
59%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
0–37%
1–17%
0–16%
From our goals model: Durham W 1.1 – 2.6 Newcastle United W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle United W to win✓
67%
1.48
1.20
Double chance
Newcastle United W or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.75
Draw no bet
Newcastle United W (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Newcastle United W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
First team to score
Newcastle United W to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Newcastle United W ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle United W / FT Newcastle United W✓
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
Durham W – last 6
LLLLLW
30 Sep
vs Manchester United W
1–5
L
27 Sep
@ Sheffield United W
1–4
L
20 Sep
vs Nottingham Forest W
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Leicester City FC W
2–4
L
6 Sep
vs Southampton W
1–3
L
26 Apr
vs Sheffield United W
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Newcastle United W – last 6
LWWWWL
30 Sep
@ Aston Villa W
1–3
L
27 Sep
vs Leicester City FC W
4–0
W
20 Sep
vs Sheffield United W
4–1
W
12 Sep
@ Bristol City W
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Wolverhampton W
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Bristol City W
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Durham W and Newcastle United W.
What is the prediction for Durham W vs Newcastle United W?
Our pick is Newcastle United W to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Durham W vs Newcastle United W?
On our numbers Durham W have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Newcastle United W 67%.
How many goals will there be in Durham W vs Newcastle United W?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Durham W vs Newcastle United W?
Our predicted score is Durham W 1–2 Newcastle United W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Durham W vs Newcastle United W?
Durham W vs Newcastle United W (Women's Championship) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Maiden Castle.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
