Nottingham Forest W 60%Draw 23%Burnley W 17%Expected goals 1.51 – 0.62
60%
Betarazi pick
Nottingham Forest W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultNottingham Forest W to win ✓60% · @1.53
Double chanceNottingham Forest W or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90
Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the Women's Championship brings Nottingham Forest W against Burnley W at City Ground. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Nottingham Forest W are 4th, among the top four, on 13 points after 7 matches; Burnley W are 11th (in the drop zone) with 2.
Current form
Nottingham Forest W, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Southampton W, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Burnley W, last 4: DLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bristol City W, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Nottingham Forest W, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Burnley W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nottingham Forest W 1.5 xG, Burnley W 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nottingham Forest W 60%, draw 23%, Burnley W 17%.
Lower-risk option: Nottingham Forest W or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nottingham Forest W to win (60%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nottingham Forest W 1–0 Burnley W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nottingham Forest W60%fair 1.66 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @4.00
Burnley W17%fair 6.03 · @4.50
2.13Expected goals
1.51Nottingham Forest W xG
0.62Burnley W xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Nottingham Forest W 1.5 – 0.6 Burnley W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nottingham Forest W to win✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Double chance
Nottingham Forest W or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.67
Draw no bet
Nottingham Forest W (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Burnley W +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Nottingham Forest W to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nottingham Forest W / FT Nottingham Forest W✓
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.90
–
Recent results
Nottingham Forest W – last 6
DLWDDW
27 Sep
@ Southampton W
1–1
D
23 Sep
vs Aston Villa W
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Durham W
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Watford W
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Ipswich Town W
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Portsmouth W
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Burnley W – last 4
DLLD
26 Sep
vs Bristol City W
0–0
D
18 Sep
@ Wolverhampton W
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Sunderland W
1–2
L
4 Sep
@ Watford W
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nottingham Forest W and Burnley W.
What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W?
Our pick is Nottingham Forest W to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W?
On our numbers Nottingham Forest W have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Burnley W 17%.
How many goals will there be in Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W?
Our predicted score is Nottingham Forest W 1–0 Burnley W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W?
Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W (Women's Championship) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at City Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.