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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

APEA v Ermis: numbers & prediction

2. Division · Cyprus

APEA

LWDWD
2–0
FT

Ermis

WWLLW
APEA 43%Draw 22%Ermis 35% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.04
58%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultAPEA to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.82

APEA vs Ermis: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

APEA welcome Ermis for a 2. Division fixture on Saturday 24 October (13:00 WAT). In the table, APEA are 5th, upper half, on 11 points after 7 matches; Ermis are 7th (upper half) with 10. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

APEA, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Nea Salamis, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Ermis, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over MEAP Nisou, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give APEA 1.2 xG, Ermis 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – APEA 43%, draw 22%, Ermis 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: APEA 1–1 Ermis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

APEA43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Ermis35%fair 2.87 · @3.00
2.25Expected goals
1.21APEA xG
1.04Ermis xG
44%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: APEA 1.2 – 1.0 Ermis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAPEA to win ✓43%2.312.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓56%1.77–
Draw no betAPEA (draw no bet) ✓55%1.80–
Asian handicapErmis +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreAPEA to score first ✓48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT APEA / FT APEA ✓23%4.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.82–

Recent results

APEA – last 6

LWDWDW
21 Oct@ Nea Salamis0–4L
17 Oct@ Ethnikos Achna1–0W
10 Octvs Spartakos Kitiou0–0D
19 Sep@ Digenis Morphou1–0W
12 Sepvs Doxa3–3D
21 Apr@ Iraklis Yerolakkou2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ermis – last 6

WWLLWL
17 Octvs MEAP Nisou2–0W
10 Oct@ Polemidion1–0W
2 Octvs Nea Salamis0–3L
20 Sepvs PAEEK1–2L
11 Sepvs Akritas2–0W
17 Apr@ Ethnikos Assias0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between APEA and Ermis.

APEA vs Ermis head-to-head page →

2. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ethnikos Achna7601+1618
2Doxa7520+917
3PAEEK7511+816
4Enosis7511+616
5APEA7322+111
6ASIL Lysi7241+310
7Ermis7313+110
8Polemidion7304-69
9Iraklis Yerolakkou7223-38
10Anagennisi Deryneia7214-67
11Halkanoras7133-46
12Digenis Morphou7133-16
13Akritas7133-26
14Spartakos Kitiou713306
15Ayia Napa7124-85
16MEAP Nisou7025-142

More 2. Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for APEA vs Ermis?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win APEA vs Ermis?

On our numbers APEA have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ermis 35%.

How many goals will there be in APEA vs Ermis?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for APEA vs Ermis?

Our predicted score is APEA 1–1 Ermis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is APEA vs Ermis?

APEA vs Ermis (2. Division) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.