Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.82
APEA vs Ermis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
APEA welcome Ermis for a 2. Division fixture on Saturday 24 October (13:00 WAT). In the table, APEA are 5th, upper half, on 11 points after 7 matches; Ermis are 7th (upper half) with 10. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
APEA, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Nea Salamis, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Ermis, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over MEAP Nisou, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give APEA 1.2 xG, Ermis 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – APEA 43%, draw 22%, Ermis 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: APEA 1–1 Ermis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
APEA43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Ermis35%fair 2.87 · @3.00
2.25Expected goals
1.21APEA xG
1.04Ermis xG
44%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: APEA 1.2 – 1.0 Ermis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
APEA to win✓
43%
2.31
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
APEA (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Ermis +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
APEA to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT APEA / FT APEA✓
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.82
–
Recent results
APEA – last 6
LWDWDW
21 Oct
@ Nea Salamis
0–4
L
17 Oct
@ Ethnikos Achna
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Spartakos Kitiou
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Digenis Morphou
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Doxa
3–3
D
21 Apr
@ Iraklis Yerolakkou
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ermis – last 6
WWLLWL
17 Oct
vs MEAP Nisou
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ Polemidion
1–0
W
2 Oct
vs Nea Salamis
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs PAEEK
1–2
L
11 Sep
vs Akritas
2–0
W
17 Apr
@ Ethnikos Assias
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between APEA and Ermis.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win APEA vs Ermis?
On our numbers APEA have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ermis 35%.
How many goals will there be in APEA vs Ermis?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for APEA vs Ermis?
Our predicted score is APEA 1–1 Ermis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is APEA vs Ermis?
APEA vs Ermis (2. Division) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.