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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ayia Napa v Digenis Morphou: numbers & prediction

2. Division · Cyprus
2–1
FT
Ayia Napa 30%Draw 22%Digenis Morphou 48% Expected goals 1.03 – 1.41
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultDigenis Morphou to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.18

Ayia Napa vs Digenis Morphou: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Ayia Napa v Digenis Morphou in the 2. Division. In the table, Ayia Napa are 15th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 7 matches; Digenis Morphou are 12th (lower half) with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ayia Napa, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Doxa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Digenis Morphou, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Halkanoras, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ayia Napa 1.0 xG, Digenis Morphou 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ayia Napa 30%, draw 22%, Digenis Morphou 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ayia Napa 1–1 Digenis Morphou. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ayia Napa30%fair 3.33 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Digenis Morphou48%fair 2.07 · @2.00
2.45Expected goals
1.03Ayia Napa xG
1.41Digenis Morphou xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–29%
0–09%

From our goals model: Ayia Napa 1.0 – 1.4 Digenis Morphou expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDigenis Morphou to win ✗48%2.072.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.81–
Draw no betDigenis Morphou (draw no bet) ✗62%1.62–
Asian handicapAyia Napa +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreDigenis Morphou to score first53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Digenis Morphou / FT Digenis Morphou ✗27%3.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12%8.18–

Recent results

Ayia Napa – last 6

LLDLWL
17 Oct@ Doxa0–3L
10 Octvs Enosis1–2L
18 Sep@ Iraklis Yerolakkou1–1D
12 Sepvs ASIL Lysi1–3L
19 Aprvs PAEEK6–3W
4 Apr@ Nea Salamis0–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Digenis Morphou – last 6

DWLDLD
18 Octvs Halkanoras1–1D
10 Oct@ Anagennisi Deryneia3–1W
19 Sepvs APEA0–1L
12 Sep@ MEAP Nisou0–0D
21 Apr@ Ethnikos Latsion1–2L
18 Marvs Halkanoras0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ayia Napa and Digenis Morphou.

Ayia Napa vs Digenis Morphou head-to-head page →

2. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ethnikos Achna7601+1618
2Doxa7520+917
3PAEEK7511+816
4Enosis7511+616
5APEA7322+111
6ASIL Lysi7241+310
7Ermis7313+110
8Polemidion7304-69
9Iraklis Yerolakkou7223-38
10Anagennisi Deryneia7214-67
11Halkanoras7133-46
12Digenis Morphou7133-16
13Akritas7133-26
14Spartakos Kitiou713306
15Ayia Napa7124-85
16MEAP Nisou7025-142

More 2. Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ayia Napa vs Digenis Morphou?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Ayia Napa vs Digenis Morphou?

On our numbers Ayia Napa have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Digenis Morphou 48%.

How many goals will there be in Ayia Napa vs Digenis Morphou?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ayia Napa vs Digenis Morphou?

Our predicted score is Ayia Napa 1–1 Digenis Morphou, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Ayia Napa vs Digenis Morphou?

Ayia Napa vs Digenis Morphou (2. Division) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.