Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultCanada to win ✓63% · @1.57
Double chanceCanada or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.88
Canada vs Peru: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Canada v Peru in the Friendlies.
Current form
Canada, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chile, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Peru, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mexico, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Canada, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Peru.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Canada 1.8 xG, Peru 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Canada 63%, draw 21%, Peru 16%.
Lower-risk option: Canada or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Canada to win (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Canada 1–0 Peru. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Canada63%fair 1.58 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.60
Peru16%fair 6.34 · @5.00
2.50Expected goals
1.77Canada xG
0.73Peru xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Canada 1.8 – 0.7 Peru expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Canada to win✓
63%
1.58
1.57
Double chance
Canada or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.83
Draw no bet
Canada (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Canada -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Canada to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Canada ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Canada / FT Canada✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.88
–
Recent results
Canada – last 6
WLWLWD
27 Sep
vs Chile
1–0
W
4 Jul
vs Morocco
0–3
L
28 Jun
@ South Africa
1–0
W
24 Jun
@ Switzerland
1–2
L
18 Jun
vs Qatar
6–0
W
12 Jun
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Peru – last 5
DLLWD
30 Sep
@ Mexico
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ USA
1–4
L
9 Jun
vs Spain
1–3
L
6 Jun
@ Haiti
2–1
W
31 Mar
vs Honduras
2–2
D
1.4Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Canada and Peru.
Our pick is Canada to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Canada vs Peru?
On our numbers Canada have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Peru 16%.
How many goals will there be in Canada vs Peru?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Canada vs Peru?
Our predicted score is Canada 1–0 Peru, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Canada vs Peru?
Canada vs Peru (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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