Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Gimnasia La Plata Res. to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGimnasia La Plata Res. to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceGimnasia La Plata Res. or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.80
Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Sarmiento Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sarmiento Res. travel to face Gimnasia La Plata Res. on Wednesday 19 August in the Reserve League – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia La Plata Res. are 24th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Sarmiento Res. are 15th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Gimnasia La Plata Res., last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Argentinos Juniors Res., away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Sarmiento Res., last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Unión Santa Fe Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sarmiento Res., collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Gimnasia La Plata Res..
Head to head
When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended Sarmiento Res. 2–0 Gimnasia La Plata Res..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia La Plata Res. 1.4 xG, Sarmiento Res. 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia La Plata Res. 62%, draw 23%, Sarmiento Res. 15%.
Lower-risk option: Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Gimnasia La Plata Res. to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia La Plata Res. 1–0 Sarmiento Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia La Plata Res.62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @2.88
Sarmiento Res.15%fair 6.58 · @3.90
1.91Expected goals
1.41Gimnasia La Plata Res. xG
0.50Sarmiento Res. xG
48%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
0–015%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gimnasia La Plata Res. 1.4 – 0.5 Sarmiento Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia La Plata Res. to win✗
62%
1.62
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.67
Draw no bet
Gimnasia La Plata Res. (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Sarmiento Res. +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Gimnasia La Plata Res. to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia La Plata Res. / FT Gimnasia La Plata Res.✗
What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
Our pick is Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
On our numbers Gimnasia La Plata Res. have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sarmiento Res. 15%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia La Plata Res. 1–0 Sarmiento Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?
Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Sarmiento Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
