Independiente Res. v Estudiantes La Plata Res Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultIndependiente Res. to win ✗42% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44

Independiente Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Estudiantes La Plata Res travel to face Independiente Res. on Wednesday 19 August in the Reserve League – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Independiente Res. are 1st, leading the league, on 37 points after 16 matches; Estudiantes La Plata Res are 4th (among the top four) with 32.

Current form

Independiente Res., last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Central Córdoba SdE Res., away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.

Estudiantes La Plata Res, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atl. Rafaela 2, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Mar 2026) it ended Estudiantes La Plata Res 1–0 Independiente Res..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Independiente Res. 1.5 xG, Estudiantes La Plata Res 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente Res. 42%, draw 23%, Estudiantes La Plata Res 35%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente Res. 1–1 Estudiantes La Plata Res. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Independiente Res.42%fair 2.40 · @2.15

Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00

Estudiantes La Plata Res35%fair 2.84 · @3.00

2.80Expected goals

1.47Independiente Res. xG

1.33Estudiantes La Plata Res xG

57%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–09%

2–19%

0–18%

1–28%

2–07%

From our goals model: Independiente Res. 1.5 – 1.3 Estudiantes La Plata Res expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Independiente Res. to win ✗	42%	2.40	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	77%	1.30	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	57%	1.76	1.73
Draw no bet	Independiente Res. (draw no bet)	54%	1.85	–
Asian handicap	Estudiantes La Plata Res +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.88	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
First team to score	Independiente Res. to score first	49%	2.03	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.42	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Independiente Res. / FT Independiente Res. ✗	24%	4.19	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.44	–

Independiente Res. – last 6

WWWWLW

13 Aug	@ Central Córdoba SdE Res.	2–0	W
5 Aug	vs San Martín San Juan Res.	9–0	W
23 Jul	@ Independiente Riva. Res.	2–1	W
16 Jul	vs Deportivo Riestra Res.	2–1	W
27 Jun	vs Racing Club Res.	2–3	L
18 Jun	vs Belgrano Córdoba Res.	3–2	W

3.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Estudiantes La Plata Res – last 6

WWDWWW

12 Aug	vs Atl. Rafaela 2	3–1	W
7 Aug	@ Platense Res.	3–0	W
23 Jul	vs Quilmes 2	1–1	D
14 Jul	vs Colón Res.	2–0	W
19 Jun	vs Central Córdoba SdE Res.	3–2	W
10 Jun	@ San Martín San Juan Res.	4–0	W

2.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vélez Sársfield Res.	20	15	2	3	+29	47
2	Boca Juniors Res.	20	12	3	5	+24	39
3	Racing Club Res.	21	11	6	4	+7	39
4	River Plate Res.	21	11	4	6	+9	37
5	Independiente Res.	19	11	3	5	+19	36
6	Lanús Res.	19	11	2	6	+13	35
7	Newell's Old Boys Res.	19	10	4	5	+9	34
8	Quilmes 2	18	10	3	5	+8	33
9	Defensa y Justicia Res.	18	9	5	4	+14	32
10	Atlético Tucumán Res.	19	9	3	7	-2	30
11	Unión Santa Fe Res.	18	7	8	3	+4	29
12	Estudiantes La Plata Res	18	8	4	6	+9	28
13	Argentinos Juniors Res.	18	7	7	4	+6	28
14	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	18	8	3	7	-2	27
15	Talleres Córdoba Res.	18	7	5	6	+6	26
16	Huracán Res.	18	7	5	6	+6	26
17	Rosario Central Res.	18	7	5	6	+3	26
18	Platense Res.	18	7	5	6	-3	26
19	Deportivo Riestra Res.	18	7	4	7	+7	25
20	Independiente Riva. Res.	18	7	3	8	0	24
21	Instituto Res.	18	5	9	4	-1	24
22	San Lorenzo Res.	18	6	6	6	-2	24
23	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	18	6	5	7	+2	23
24	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	6	5	7	-3	23
25	Banfield Res.	18	6	5	7	-4	23
26	Ferro 2	18	6	4	8	-3	22
27	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	18	5	4	9	-12	19
28	Colón Res.	18	5	3	10	-8	18
29	Aldosivi Res.	18	5	3	10	-11	18
30	Barracas Central Res.	18	4	5	9	-13	17
31	Sarmiento Res.	18	4	4	10	-10	16
32	Tigre Res.	18	4	4	10	-10	16
33	Godoy Cruz Res.	18	4	3	11	-10	15
34	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	-15	12
35	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	2	5	11	-23	11
36	San Martín San Juan Res.	18	2	2	14	-43	8

Team

Pts

+29

+24

+19

+13

Newell's Old Boys Res.

Quilmes 2

Defensa y Justicia Res.

+14

Atlético Tucumán Res.

-2

Unión Santa Fe Res.

Estudiantes La Plata Res

Argentinos Juniors Res.

Belgrano Córdoba Res.

-2

Talleres Córdoba Res.

Huracán Res.

Rosario Central Res.

Platense Res.

-3

Deportivo Riestra Res.

Independiente Riva. Res.

Instituto Res.

-1

San Lorenzo Res.

-2

Gimnasia La Plata Res.

Gimnasia Mendoza 2

-3

Banfield Res.

-4

Ferro 2

-3

Central Córdoba SdE Res.

-12

Colón Res.

-8

Aldosivi Res.

-11

Barracas Central Res.

-13

-10

-10

-10

-15

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2

-23

San Martín San Juan Res.

-43

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independiente Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Independiente Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res?

On our numbers Independiente Res. have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estudiantes La Plata Res 35%.

How many goals will there be in Independiente Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independiente Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res?

Our predicted score is Independiente Res. 1–1 Estudiantes La Plata Res, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Independiente Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res?

Independiente Res. vs Estudiantes La Plata Res (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Independiente Res. v Estudiantes La Plata Res: numbers & prediction