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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lanús Res. v Independiente Riva. Res.: numbers & prediction

Reserve League · Argentina

Lanús Res.

LWWWW
3–3
FT

Independiente Riva. Res.

WLDLW
Lanús Res. 59%Draw 21%Independiente Riva. Res. 20% Expected goals 1.90 – 1.01
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultLanús Res. to win ✗59% · @1.67
Double chanceLanús Res. or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Lanús Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lanús Res. welcome Independiente Riva. Res. for a Reserve League fixture on Wednesday 16 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Lanús Res. are 2nd, among the top four, on 36 points after 16 matches; Independiente Riva. Res. are 18th (upper half) with 21. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Lanús Res., last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Deportivo Riestra Res., away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Independiente Riva. Res., last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Newell's Old Boys Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Lanús Res., collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Independiente Riva. Res..

Head to head

When they last met (14 Apr 2026) it ended Independiente Riva. Res. 1–1 Lanús Res..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lanús Res. 1.9 xG, Independiente Riva. Res. 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lanús Res. 59%, draw 21%, Independiente Riva. Res. 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Lanús Res. or draw (80%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lanús Res. 1–1 Independiente Riva. Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lanús Res.59%fair 1.71 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.30
Independiente Riva. Res.20%fair 4.89 · @4.50
2.91Expected goals
1.90Lanús Res. xG
1.01Independiente Riva. Res. xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Lanús Res. 1.9 – 1.0 Independiente Riva. Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLanús Res. to win ✗59%1.711.67
Double chanceLanús Res. or draw ✓80%1.261.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.75 ▲
Draw no betLanús Res. (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapIndependiente Riva. Res. +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
First team to scoreLanús Res. to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultLanús Res. ahead at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lanús Res. / FT Lanús Res. ✗36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

Lanús Res. – last 6

LWWWWD
10 Sep@ Deportivo Riestra Res.1–4L
1 Sepvs Belgrano Córdoba Res.3–1W
26 Aug@ Colón Res.2–0W
18 Aug@ Newell's Old Boys Res.2–1W
12 Augvs Defensa y Justicia Res.3–1W
5 Aug@ Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 20–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Independiente Riva. Res. – last 6

WLDLWL
10 Sepvs Newell's Old Boys Res.1–0W
3 Sep@ Defensa y Justicia Res.0–4L
27 Augvs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 21–1D
19 Aug@ Huracán Res.0–2L
13 Augvs Ferro 22–1W
4 Aug@ Boca Juniors Res.0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Apr 2026Independiente Riva. Res. v Lanús Res.1–1
Lanús Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res. head-to-head page →

Reserve League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vélez Sársfield Res.201523+2947
2Boca Juniors Res.201235+2439
3Racing Club Res.211164+739
4River Plate Res.211146+937
5Independiente Res.191135+1936
6Lanús Res.191126+1335
7Newell's Old Boys Res.191045+934
8Quilmes 2181035+833
9Defensa y Justicia Res.18954+1432
10Atlético Tucumán Res.19937-230
11Unión Santa Fe Res.18783+429
12Estudiantes La Plata Res18846+928
13Argentinos Juniors Res.18774+628
14Belgrano Córdoba Res.18837-227
15Talleres Córdoba Res.18756+626
16Huracán Res.18756+626
17Rosario Central Res.18756+326
18Platense Res.18756-326
19Deportivo Riestra Res.18747+725
20Independiente Riva. Res.18738024
21Instituto Res.18594-124
22San Lorenzo Res.18666-224
23Gimnasia La Plata Res.18657+223
24Gimnasia Mendoza 218657-323
25Banfield Res.18657-423
26Ferro 218648-322
27Central Córdoba SdE Res.18549-1219
28Colón Res.185310-818
29Aldosivi Res.185310-1118
30Barracas Central Res.18459-1317
31Sarmiento Res.184410-1016
32Tigre Res.184410-1016
33Godoy Cruz Res.184311-1015
34Atl. Rafaela 2183312-1512
35Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2182511-2311
36San Martín San Juan Res.182214-438

More Reserve League predictions

League hub
FT Atlético Tucumán Res.0 Rosario Central Res.1 130%2.90X24%2.80245%2.25 1.2–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.73 ✗
FT Ferro 21 Platense Res.1 146%2.15X23%3.00231%3.10 1.3–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 61%@1.53 ✓
FT Unión Santa Fe Res.5 Tigre Res.1 159%1.85X26%2.90215%4.00 1.6–0.7xG 1XUnión Santa Fe Res. or draw 85%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lanús Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Lanús Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?

On our numbers Lanús Res. have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Independiente Riva. Res. 20%.

How many goals will there be in Lanús Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lanús Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?

Our predicted score is Lanús Res. 1–1 Independiente Riva. Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Lanús Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?

Lanús Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.