Unión Santa Fe Res. 59%Draw 26%Tigre Res. 15%Expected goals 1.56 – 0.65
85%
Betarazi pick
Unión Santa Fe Res. or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Unión Santa Fe Res. to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUnión Santa Fe Res. to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceUnión Santa Fe Res. or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.84
Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Tigre Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 16 September the Reserve League brings Unión Santa Fe Res. against Tigre Res.. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Unión Santa Fe Res. are 23rd, lower half, on 18 points after 17 matches; Tigre Res. are 32nd (lower half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Unión Santa Fe Res., last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Lorenzo Res., away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tigre Res., last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atlético Tucumán Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Apr 2026) it ended Tigre Res. 0–0 Unión Santa Fe Res..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Unión Santa Fe Res. 1.6 xG, Tigre Res. 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Unión Santa Fe Res. 59%, draw 26%, Tigre Res. 15%.
Lower-risk option: Unión Santa Fe Res. or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Unión Santa Fe Res. to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Unión Santa Fe Res. or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Unión Santa Fe Res. 1–0 Tigre Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Unión Santa Fe Res.59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @2.90
Tigre Res.15%fair 6.73 · @4.00
2.21Expected goals
1.56Unión Santa Fe Res. xG
0.65Tigre Res. xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Unión Santa Fe Res. 1.6 – 0.7 Tigre Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Tigre Res.?
Our pick is Unión Santa Fe Res. or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Tigre Res.?
On our numbers Unión Santa Fe Res. have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tigre Res. 15%.
How many goals will there be in Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Tigre Res.?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Tigre Res.?
Our predicted score is Unión Santa Fe Res. 1–0 Tigre Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Tigre Res.?
Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Tigre Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
