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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ferro 2 v Defensa y Justicia Res.: numbers & prediction

Reserve League · Argentina

Ferro 2

DDLLD
Wed 11 Nov 2026
Ferro 2 30%Draw 26%Defensa y Justicia Res. 43% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.47
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultDefensa y Justicia Res. to win43% · @2.19
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.04

Ferro 2 vs Defensa y Justicia Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Wednesday 11 November: Ferro 2 v Defensa y Justicia Res. in the Reserve League. In the table, Ferro 2 are 36th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 16 matches; Defensa y Justicia Res. are 26th (lower half) with 16.

Current form

Ferro 2, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Defensa y Justicia Res., last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Boca Juniors Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Jun 2026) it ended Defensa y Justicia Res. 2–1 Ferro 2.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ferro 2 1.1 xG, Defensa y Justicia Res. 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ferro 2 30%, draw 26%, Defensa y Justicia Res. 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferro 2 1–1 Defensa y Justicia Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ferro 230%fair 3.30 · @2.86
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.16
Defensa y Justicia Res.43%fair 2.30 · @2.19
2.62Expected goals
1.15Ferro 2 xG
1.47Defensa y Justicia Res. xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Ferro 2 1.1 – 1.5 Defensa y Justicia Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Ferro 2Defensa y Justicia Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average-35%+12%
Goals conceded vs average+12%+17%
Our expected goals here1.041.41

Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDefensa y Justicia Res. to win43%2.302.19
Double chanceEither team to win74%1.361.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.741.67
Draw no betDefensa y Justicia Res. (draw no bet)59%1.70–
Asian handicapFerro 2 +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals73%1.371.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals51%1.971.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals72%1.401.29
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.14–
First team to scoreDefensa y Justicia Res. to score first52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Defensa y Justicia Res. / FT Defensa y Justicia Res.26%3.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.04–

Recent results

Ferro 2 – last 6

DDLLDL
5 Nov@ Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 20–0D
29 Octvs Huracán Res.0–0D
21 Octvs Colón Res.0–1L
15 Oct@ Boca Juniors Res.0–1L
7 Octvs Independiente Res.0–0D
29 Sep@ Atl. Rafaela 22–3L
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Defensa y Justicia Res. – last 6

LLDWDL
5 Novvs Boca Juniors Res.0–2L
27 Oct@ Independiente Res.1–4L
20 Octvs Atl. Rafaela 21–1D
14 Oct@ Platense Res.1–0W
6 Octvs Quilmes 21–1D
29 Sep@ Estudiantes La Plata Res0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Jun 2026Defensa y Justicia Res. v Ferro 22–1
Ferro 2 vs Defensa y Justicia Res. head-to-head page →

Reserve League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vélez Sársfield Res.201523+2947
2Boca Juniors Res.201235+2439
3Racing Club Res.211164+739
4River Plate Res.211146+937
5Independiente Res.191135+1936
6Lanús Res.191126+1335
7Newell's Old Boys Res.191045+934
8Quilmes 2181035+833
9Defensa y Justicia Res.18954+1432
10Atlético Tucumán Res.19937-230
11Unión Santa Fe Res.18783+429
12Estudiantes La Plata Res18846+928
13Argentinos Juniors Res.18774+628
14Belgrano Córdoba Res.18837-227
15Talleres Córdoba Res.18756+626
16Huracán Res.18756+626
17Rosario Central Res.18756+326
18Platense Res.18756-326
19Deportivo Riestra Res.18747+725
20Independiente Riva. Res.18738024
21Instituto Res.18594-124
22San Lorenzo Res.18666-224
23Gimnasia La Plata Res.18657+223
24Gimnasia Mendoza 218657-323
25Banfield Res.18657-423
26Ferro 218648-322
27Central Córdoba SdE Res.18549-1219
28Colón Res.185310-818
29Aldosivi Res.185310-1118
30Barracas Central Res.18459-1317
31Sarmiento Res.184410-1016
32Tigre Res.184410-1016
33Godoy Cruz Res.184311-1015
34Atl. Rafaela 2183312-1512
35Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2182511-2311
36San Martín San Juan Res.182214-438

More Reserve League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ferro 2 vs Defensa y Justicia Res.?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Ferro 2 vs Defensa y Justicia Res.?

On our numbers Ferro 2 have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Defensa y Justicia Res. 43%.

How many goals will there be in Ferro 2 vs Defensa y Justicia Res.?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ferro 2 vs Defensa y Justicia Res.?

Our predicted score is Ferro 2 1–1 Defensa y Justicia Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Ferro 2 vs Defensa y Justicia Res.?

Ferro 2 vs Defensa y Justicia Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.