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Independiente Res. v Lanús Res.: numbers & prediction

Reserve League · Argentina
Wed 11 Nov 2026
Independiente Res. 49%Draw 23%Lanús Res. 28% Expected goals 2.06 – 1.39
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.55

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultIndependiente Res. to win49% · @2.09
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score65% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.69

Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Independiente Res. welcome Lanús Res. for a Reserve League fixture on Wednesday 11 November (19:00 WAT). In the table, Independiente Res. are 1st, leading the league, on 37 points after 16 matches; Lanús Res. are 2nd (among the top four) with 36. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Independiente Res., last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Newell's Old Boys Res., away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Lanús Res., last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Atl. Rafaela 2, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Jun 2026) it ended Lanús Res. 0–4 Independiente Res..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Independiente Res. 2.1 xG, Lanús Res. 1.4 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente Res. 49%, draw 23%, Lanús Res. 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.55.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente Res. 2–1 Lanús Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Independiente Res.49%fair 2.03 · @2.09
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.20
Lanús Res.28%fair 3.60 · @3.02
3.45Expected goals
2.06Independiente Res. xG
1.39Lanús Res. xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
2–27%
3–16%

From our goals model: Independiente Res. 2.1 – 1.4 Lanús Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Independiente Res.Lanús Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average+57%+70%
Goals conceded vs average-22%+16%
Our expected goals here2.491.49

Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndependiente Res. to win49%2.032.09
Double chanceEither team to win77%1.301.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score65%1.541.55
Draw no betIndependiente Res. (draw no bet)64%1.56–
Asian handicapLanús Res. +1 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals81%1.231.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals61%1.641.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals60%1.681.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals73%1.36–
First team to scoreIndependiente Res. to score first58%1.73–
Half-time resultIndependiente Res. ahead at half-time41%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Independiente Res. / FT Independiente Res.33%3.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.69–

Recent results

Independiente Res. – last 6

DWWWDW
3 Nov@ Newell's Old Boys Res.2–2D
27 Octvs Defensa y Justicia Res.4–1W
20 Oct@ Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 22–1W
13 Octvs Huracán Res.3–0W
7 Oct@ Ferro 20–0D
1 Octvs Boca Juniors Res.2–1W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Lanús Res. – last 6

WWWDWW
3 Novvs Atl. Rafaela 24–2W
27 Oct@ Platense Res.3–1W
21 Octvs Quilmes 24–1W
14 Oct@ Estudiantes La Plata Res4–4D
8 Octvs Central Córdoba SdE Res.3–0W
1 Oct@ San Martín San Juan Res.2–0W
3.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Jun 2026Lanús Res. v Independiente Res.0–4
Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res. head-to-head page →

Reserve League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vélez Sársfield Res.201523+2947
2Boca Juniors Res.201235+2439
3Racing Club Res.211164+739
4River Plate Res.211146+937
5Independiente Res.191135+1936
6Lanús Res.191126+1335
7Newell's Old Boys Res.191045+934
8Quilmes 2181035+833
9Defensa y Justicia Res.18954+1432
10Atlético Tucumán Res.19937-230
11Unión Santa Fe Res.18783+429
12Estudiantes La Plata Res18846+928
13Argentinos Juniors Res.18774+628
14Belgrano Córdoba Res.18837-227
15Talleres Córdoba Res.18756+626
16Huracán Res.18756+626
17Rosario Central Res.18756+326
18Platense Res.18756-326
19Deportivo Riestra Res.18747+725
20Independiente Riva. Res.18738024
21Instituto Res.18594-124
22San Lorenzo Res.18666-224
23Gimnasia La Plata Res.18657+223
24Gimnasia Mendoza 218657-323
25Banfield Res.18657-423
26Ferro 218648-322
27Central Córdoba SdE Res.18549-1219
28Colón Res.185310-818
29Aldosivi Res.185310-1118
30Barracas Central Res.18459-1317
31Sarmiento Res.184410-1016
32Tigre Res.184410-1016
33Godoy Cruz Res.184311-1015
34Atl. Rafaela 2183312-1512
35Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2182511-2311
36San Martín San Juan Res.182214-438

More Reserve League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?

On our numbers Independiente Res. have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lanús Res. 28%.

How many goals will there be in Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?

Our predicted score is Independiente Res. 2–1 Lanús Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?

Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.