Value bet: El Mokawloon to win @ 2.80 – our chance 46% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEl Mokawloon to win ✗46% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.98
El Geish vs El Mokawloon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: El Geish v El Mokawloon in the Premier League, played at Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium. In the table, El Geish are 14th, lower half, on 8 points after 8 matches; El Mokawloon are 7th (upper half) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
El Geish, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Wadi Degla, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
El Mokawloon, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Future FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours El Mokawloon, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for El Geish.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Geish 0.8 xG, El Mokawloon 1.1 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Geish 27%, draw 27%, El Mokawloon 46%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: El Mokawloon to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Geish 0–1 El Mokawloon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Geish27%fair 3.65 · @2.80
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @2.66
El Mokawloon46%fair 2.17 · @2.80
1.91Expected goals
0.78El Geish xG
1.13El Mokawloon xG
48%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–015%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: El Geish 0.8 – 1.1 El Mokawloon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Mokawloon to win✗
46%
2.17
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.48
Draw no bet
El Mokawloon (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
El Geish +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.09
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
El Mokawloon to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Mokawloon / FT El Mokawloon✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.98
–
Recent results
El Geish – last 6
LLWLWD
28 May
vs Wadi Degla
0–2
L
22 May
@ El Gouna FC
1–2
L
18 May
vs Pharco
1–0
W
13 May
@ Al Ittihad
0–1
L
7 May
vs Ghazl El Mehalla
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Future FC
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
El Mokawloon – last 6
WDDWDD
29 May
vs Future FC
3–1
W
18 May
vs Wadi Degla
1–1
D
13 May
@ Haras El Hodood
0–0
D
8 May
vs El Gouna FC
1–0
W
4 May
@ Pharco
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs Ghazl El Mehalla
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Geish and El Mokawloon.
What is the prediction for El Geish vs El Mokawloon?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win El Geish vs El Mokawloon?
On our numbers El Geish have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 27% and El Mokawloon 46%.
How many goals will there be in El Geish vs El Mokawloon?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Geish vs El Mokawloon?
Our predicted score is El Geish 0–1 El Mokawloon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is El Geish vs El Mokawloon?
El Geish vs El Mokawloon (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
