AL Masry 54%Draw 25%Smouha SC 21%Expected goals 1.40 – 0.73
79%
Betarazi pick
AL Masry or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: AL Masry to win @ 1.98 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAL Masry to win ✓54% · @1.98
Double chanceAL Masry or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 6.01
AL Masry vs Smouha SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Smouha SC travel to face AL Masry on Saturday 22 August in the Premier League, with Borg El Arab Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, AL Masry are 12th, lower half, on 9 points after 8 matches; Smouha SC are 9th (upper half) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AL Masry, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Enppi, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Smouha SC, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pyramids FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours AL Masry, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.0 for Smouha SC.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended Smouha SC 0–1 AL Masry.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AL Masry 1.4 xG, Smouha SC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AL Masry 54%, draw 25%, Smouha SC 21%.
Lower-risk option: AL Masry or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: AL Masry to win @1.98 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AL Masry or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: AL Masry 1–0 Smouha SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AL Masry54%fair 1.84 · @1.98
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.92
Smouha SC21%fair 4.75 · @4.10
2.13Expected goals
1.40AL Masry xG
0.73Smouha SC xG
48%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
1–112%
0–012%
2–012%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: AL Masry 1.4 – 0.7 Smouha SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is AL Masry or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win AL Masry vs Smouha SC?
On our numbers AL Masry have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Smouha SC 21%.
How many goals will there be in AL Masry vs Smouha SC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AL Masry vs Smouha SC?
Our predicted score is AL Masry 1–0 Smouha SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is AL Masry vs Smouha SC?
AL Masry vs Smouha SC (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Borg El Arab Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
