Baku Sportinq 27%Draw 23%Karvan 50%Expected goals 0.93 – 1.42
58%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Karvan to win @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKarvan to win ✓50% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.40
Baku Sportinq vs Karvan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Baku Sportinq welcome Karvan for a Birinci Dasta fixture on Thursday 3 September (14:00 WAT). In the table, Baku Sportinq are 10th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 7 matches; Karvan are 4th (among the top four) with 13. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Baku Sportinq, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Şahdağ, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Karvan, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Imisli FK, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Baku Sportinq, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Karvan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baku Sportinq 0.9 xG, Karvan 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baku Sportinq 27%, draw 23%, Karvan 50%.
Price worth noting: Karvan to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baku Sportinq 0–1 Karvan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baku Sportinq27%fair 3.76 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Karvan50%fair 1.98 · @2.25
2.36Expected goals
0.93Baku Sportinq xG
1.42Karvan xG
46%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–210%
0–09%
1–29%
1–09%
From our goals model: Baku Sportinq 0.9 – 1.4 Karvan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karvan to win✓
50%
1.98
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Karvan (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Baku Sportinq +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Karvan to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karvan / FT Karvan✓
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.40
–
Recent results
Baku Sportinq – last 6
DWDLDW
22 May
@ Şahdağ
1–1
D
7 May
@ Cəbrayıl
3–2
W
30 Apr
vs Difai Ağsu
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Şimal
0–1
L
16 Apr
vs Safa Baku
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs MOIK
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Karvan – last 6
DLLLWL
24 May
@ Imisli FK
1–1
D
10 May
@ Turan
0–1
L
5 May
vs Neftchi Baku
0–3
L
27 Apr
@ Sabah FA
0–2
L
10 Apr
vs Kapaz
4–1
W
6 Apr
@ Qarabag
0–8
L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baku Sportinq and Karvan.
What is the prediction for Baku Sportinq vs Karvan?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Baku Sportinq vs Karvan?
On our numbers Baku Sportinq have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Karvan 50%.
How many goals will there be in Baku Sportinq vs Karvan?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baku Sportinq vs Karvan?
Our predicted score is Baku Sportinq 0–1 Karvan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Baku Sportinq vs Karvan?
Baku Sportinq vs Karvan (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
