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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Xankəndi FK v Səbail: numbers & prediction

Birinci Dasta · Azerbaidjan
1–1
FT

Səbail

LWWWW
Xankəndi FK 22%Draw 19%Səbail 60% Expected goals 0.89 – 1.73
60%
Betarazi pick

Səbail to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultSəbail to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.96

Xankəndi FK vs Səbail: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Thursday 3 September: Xankəndi FK v Səbail in the Birinci Dasta. In the table, Xankəndi FK are 7th, lower half, on 6 points after 7 matches; Səbail are 5th (upper half) with 12.

Current form

Səbail, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Mingəçevir, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Xankəndi FK 0.9 xG, Səbail 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Xankəndi FK 22%, draw 19%, Səbail 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Səbail to win (60%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xankəndi FK 0–1 Səbail. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Xankəndi FK22%fair 4.59 · @3.40
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @3.40
Səbail60%fair 1.68 · @1.91
2.62Expected goals
0.89Xankəndi FK xG
1.73Səbail xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%

From our goals model: Xankəndi FK 0.9 – 1.7 Səbail expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSəbail to win ✗60%1.681.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.231.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.93–
Draw no betSəbail (draw no bet)73%1.37–
Asian handicapXankəndi FK +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.14–
First team to scoreSəbail to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Səbail / FT Səbail ✗35%2.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.96–

Recent results

Xankəndi FK

No recent results on record.

Səbail – last 6

LWWWWL
22 May@ Mingəçevir1–4L
6 May@ Zaqatala3–0W
30 Aprvs Cəbrayıl6–0W
23 Apr@ Difai Ağsu4–0W
16 Aprvs Şimal4–0W
9 Apr@ Safa Baku1–2L
3.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Xankəndi FK and Səbail.

Xankəndi FK vs Səbail head-to-head page →

Birinci Dasta table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cəbrayıl7511+1316
2Şahdağ6501+1215
3MOIK7421+814
4Karvan7412+613
5Səbail7331+312
6Şimal7223-18
7Xankəndi FK7133-36
8Zaqatala7124-155
9Mingəçevir6114-94
10Baku Sportinq7016-141

More Birinci Dasta predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Xankəndi FK vs Səbail?

Our pick is Səbail to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Xankəndi FK vs Səbail?

On our numbers Xankəndi FK have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Səbail 60%.

How many goals will there be in Xankəndi FK vs Səbail?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Xankəndi FK vs Səbail?

Our predicted score is Xankəndi FK 0–1 Səbail, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Xankəndi FK vs Səbail?

Xankəndi FK vs Səbail (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.