Xankəndi FK 22%Draw 19%Səbail 60%Expected goals 0.89 – 1.73
60%
Betarazi pick
Səbail to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultSəbail to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.96
Xankəndi FK vs Səbail: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Thursday 3 September: Xankəndi FK v Səbail in the Birinci Dasta. In the table, Xankəndi FK are 7th, lower half, on 6 points after 7 matches; Səbail are 5th (upper half) with 12.
Current form
Səbail, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Mingəçevir, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Xankəndi FK 0.9 xG, Səbail 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Xankəndi FK 22%, draw 19%, Səbail 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Səbail to win (60%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xankəndi FK 0–1 Səbail. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Xankəndi FK22%fair 4.59 · @3.40
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @3.40
Səbail60%fair 1.68 · @1.91
2.62Expected goals
0.89Xankəndi FK xG
1.73Səbail xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Xankəndi FK 0.9 – 1.7 Səbail expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Səbail to win✗
60%
1.68
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Səbail (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Xankəndi FK +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Səbail to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Səbail / FT Səbail✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.96
–
Recent results
Xankəndi FK
No recent results on record.
Səbail – last 6
LWWWWL
22 May
@ Mingəçevir
1–4
L
6 May
@ Zaqatala
3–0
W
30 Apr
vs Cəbrayıl
6–0
W
23 Apr
@ Difai Ağsu
4–0
W
16 Apr
vs Şimal
4–0
W
9 Apr
@ Safa Baku
1–2
L
3.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xankəndi FK and Səbail.
Our pick is Səbail to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Xankəndi FK vs Səbail?
On our numbers Xankəndi FK have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Səbail 60%.
How many goals will there be in Xankəndi FK vs Səbail?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xankəndi FK vs Səbail?
Our predicted score is Xankəndi FK 0–1 Səbail, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Xankəndi FK vs Səbail?
Xankəndi FK vs Səbail (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.