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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Górnik Łęczna v Stal Mielec: numbers & prediction

Cup · Poland

Górnik Łęczna

WDWLW
2–2
FTPens 4–3

Stal Mielec

LLWDD
Górnik Łęczna 36%Draw 20%Stal Mielec 45% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.40
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultStal Mielec to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.45

Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Stal Mielec travel to face Górnik Łęczna on Wednesday 2 September in the Cup – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Górnik Łęczna, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rekord Bielsko-Biała, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Stal Mielec, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Pogoń Siedlce, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Górnik Łęczna 1–1 Stal Mielec.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Górnik Łęczna 1.2 xG, Stal Mielec 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Górnik Łęczna 36%, draw 20%, Stal Mielec 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Górnik Łęczna 1–1 Stal Mielec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Górnik Łęczna36%fair 2.81 · @2.88
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.70
Stal Mielec45%fair 2.24 · @2.05
2.61Expected goals
1.21Górnik Łęczna xG
1.40Stal Mielec xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Górnik Łęczna 1.2 – 1.4 Stal Mielec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStal Mielec to win ✗45%2.242.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.50
Draw no betStal Mielec (draw no bet)56%1.80–
Asian handicapGórnik Łęczna +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.801.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.531.62 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.231.25
First team to scoreStal Mielec to score first ✗50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stal Mielec / FT Stal Mielec ✗24%4.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.45–

Recent results

Górnik Łęczna – last 6

WDWLWL
30 Augvs Rekord Bielsko-Biała1–0W
21 Aug@ Sandecja Nowy Sącz1–1D
14 Augvs Podhale Nowy Targ5–2W
9 Aug@ Śląsk Wrocław II0–2L
5 Augvs Kalisz2–0W
1 Augvs Avia Świdnik0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Stal Mielec – last 6

LLWDDW
29 Aug@ Pogoń Siedlce0–2L
23 Aug@ ŁKS Łódź0–4L
16 Augvs Polonia Bytom5–2W
8 Augvs Stal Rzeszów1–1D
2 Augvs Podbeskidzie3–3D
26 Jul@ Unia Skierniewice2–1W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Feb 2026Górnik Łęczna v Stal Mielec1–1
Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

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FT Luzino2 Wisla Plock3 110%6.25X20%4.50270%1.38 0.9–2.4xG 2Wisla Plock to win 70%@1.38 ✓
FT Beskid1 Śląsk Wrocław II3 123%3.30X17%4.33260%1.70 1.6–2.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.44 ✓
FT Górnik Zabrze II3 Olimpia Grudziądz4 111%12.00X19%5.60270%1.18 1.8–3.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 76%@1.54 ✓
FT Górnik Polkowice0 Polonia Warszawa1 112%4.75X22%4.50267%1.45 1.0–2.4xG 2Polonia Warszawa to win 67%@1.45 ✓
FT Znicz Pruszków1 Cracovia Krakow1 Pens 4–3 114%5.50X18%4.33268%1.42 1.1–2.5xG 2Cracovia Krakow to win 68%@1.42 ✗
FT Lechia Zielona Góra0 Ruch Chorzów2 120%3.00X51%3.40229%2.05 1.3–1.5xG X2Ruch Chorzów or draw 80%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?

On our numbers Górnik Łęczna have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Stal Mielec 45%.

How many goals will there be in Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?

Our predicted score is Górnik Łęczna 1–1 Stal Mielec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?

Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.