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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lechia Zielona Góra v Ruch Chorzów: numbers & prediction

Cup · Poland · MOSiR

Lechia Zielona Góra

WDLWD
0–2
FT

Ruch Chorzów

LWWDL
Lechia Zielona Góra 20%Draw 51%Ruch Chorzów 29% Expected goals 1.29 – 1.49
80%
Betarazi pick

Ruch Chorzów or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.40 – our chance 51% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +73%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗51% · @3.40
Double chanceRuch Chorzów or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 17.43

Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ruch Chorzów travel to face Lechia Zielona Góra on Wednesday 2 September in the Cup, with MOSiR the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Lechia Zielona Góra, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Avia Świdnik, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Ruch Chorzów, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Chrobry Głogów, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lechia Zielona Góra 1.3 xG, Ruch Chorzów 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lechia Zielona Góra 20%, draw 51%, Ruch Chorzów 29%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ruch Chorzów or draw (80%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ruch Chorzów or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lechia Zielona Góra 1–1 Ruch Chorzów. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lechia Zielona Góra20%fair 4.99 · @3.00
Draw51%fair 1.96 · @3.40
Ruch Chorzów29%fair 3.44 · @2.05
2.78Expected goals
1.29Lechia Zielona Góra xG
1.49Ruch Chorzów xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Lechia Zielona Góra 1.3 – 1.5 Ruch Chorzów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✗51%1.963.40 ▲
Double chanceRuch Chorzów or draw ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.67
Draw no betRuch Chorzów (draw no bet) ✓59%1.69–
Asian handicapLechia Zielona Góra +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.201.14
First team to scoreRuch Chorzów to score first ✓50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ruch Chorzów / FT Ruch Chorzów ✓25%4.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6%17.43–

Recent results

Lechia Zielona Góra – last 6

WDLWDD
29 Aug@ Avia Świdnik3–1W
23 Augvs Hutnik Kraków1–1D
16 Aug@ Zawisza Bydgoszcz1–2L
8 Augvs Sokół Kleczew6–1W
1 Augvs Olimpia Grudziądz2–2D
25 Julvs Rekord Bielsko-Biała1–1D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ruch Chorzów – last 6

LWWDLL
30 Aug@ Chrobry Głogów0–2L
24 Aug@ Stal Rzeszów1–0W
14 Augvs Lechia Gdansk1–0W
7 Aug@ Polonia Warszawa1–1D
2 Augvs Miedz Legnica0–2L
26 Jul@ Nieciecza0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lechia Zielona Góra and Ruch Chorzów.

Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów head-to-head page →

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FT Górnik Zabrze II3 Olimpia Grudziądz4 111%12.00X19%5.60270%1.18 1.8–3.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 76%@1.54 ✓
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FT Znicz Pruszków1 Cracovia Krakow1 Pens 4–3 114%5.50X18%4.33268%1.42 1.1–2.5xG 2Cracovia Krakow to win 68%@1.42 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów?

Our pick is Ruch Chorzów or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów?

On our numbers Lechia Zielona Góra have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 51% and Ruch Chorzów 29%.

How many goals will there be in Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów?

Our predicted score is Lechia Zielona Góra 1–1 Ruch Chorzów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów?

Lechia Zielona Góra vs Ruch Chorzów (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at MOSiR.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.