Durham W 4%Draw 13%Manchester United W 83%Expected goals 3.35 – 7.65
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 2.90 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
2.90Odds
Picks by market
ResultManchester United W to win ✓83% · @1.02
Double chanceManchester United W or draw ✓96% · fair 1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @2.90
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–7 ✗14% · fair 7.08
Durham W vs Manchester United W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 30 September the WSL Cup brings Durham W against Manchester United W at Maiden Castle. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Durham W, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Sheffield United W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Manchester United W, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over West Ham W, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Manchester United W, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Durham W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Durham W 3.3 xG, Manchester United W 7.7 xG – a total near 11.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 100% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Durham W 4%, draw 13%, Manchester United W 83%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 2.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 2.90 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Durham W 3–7 Manchester United W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Durham W4%fair 26.10 · @81.00
Draw13%fair 7.54 · @19.00
Manchester United W83%fair 1.21 · @1.02
11.00Expected goals
3.35Durham W xG
7.65Manchester United W xG
65%Both score
100%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–714%
2–713%
4–712%
5–78%
1–78%
6–74%
From our goals model: Durham W 3.3 – 7.7 Manchester United W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester United W to win✓
83%
1.21
1.02
Double chance
Manchester United W or draw✓
96%
1.04
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
2.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Manchester United W (draw no bet)✓
96%
1.05
–
Asian handicap
Manchester United W -2 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Manchester United W to score first
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Manchester United W ahead at half-time✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester United W / FT Manchester United W✗
66%
1.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–7✗
14%
7.08
–
Recent results
Durham W – last 6
LLLLWD
27 Sep
@ Sheffield United W
1–4
L
20 Sep
vs Nottingham Forest W
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Leicester City FC W
2–4
L
6 Sep
vs Southampton W
1–3
L
26 Apr
vs Sheffield United W
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Bristol City W
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Manchester United W – last 6
WWDLLD
27 Sep
vs West Ham W
2–1
W
23 Sep
vs Sheffield United W
10–1
W
19 Sep
@ Arsenal W
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Chelsea W
0–5
L
4 Sep
@ London City Lionesses W
1–2
L
2 May
vs Brighton W
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Durham W and Manchester United W.
What is the prediction for Durham W vs Manchester United W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.90.
Who will win Durham W vs Manchester United W?
On our numbers Durham W have a 4% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Manchester United W 83%.
How many goals will there be in Durham W vs Manchester United W?
We expect about 11.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 100% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Durham W vs Manchester United W?
Our predicted score is Durham W 3–7 Manchester United W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 11.0 goals in total.
When is Durham W vs Manchester United W?
Durham W vs Manchester United W (WSL Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Maiden Castle.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.