Aston Villa W 60%Draw 14%Newcastle United W 26%Expected goals 1.33 – 0.67
60%
Betarazi pick
Aston Villa W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultAston Villa W to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.47
Aston Villa W vs Newcastle United W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newcastle United W travel to face Aston Villa W on Wednesday 30 September in the WSL Cup, with Bescot Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT.
Current form
Aston Villa W, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur W, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Newcastle United W, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Leicester City FC W, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Newcastle United W, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Aston Villa W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aston Villa W 1.3 xG, Newcastle United W 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aston Villa W 60%, draw 14%, Newcastle United W 26%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aston Villa W to win (60%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aston Villa W 1–0 Newcastle United W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aston Villa W60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw14%fair 7.10 · @3.75
Newcastle United W26%fair 3.83 · @3.00
2.00Expected goals
1.33Aston Villa W xG
0.67Newcastle United W xG
56%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–014%
1–112%
2–012%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Aston Villa W 1.3 – 0.7 Newcastle United W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aston Villa W to win✓
60%
1.67
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.53
Draw no bet
Aston Villa W (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Newcastle United W +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Aston Villa W to score first
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aston Villa W / FT Aston Villa W✗
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.47
–
Recent results
Aston Villa W – last 6
LWDLDL
27 Sep
@ Tottenham Hotspur W
0–4
L
23 Sep
@ Nottingham Forest W
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Brighton W
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Manchester City W
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Chelsea W
1–1
D
9 May
vs Arsenal W
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Newcastle United W – last 6
WWWWLD
27 Sep
vs Leicester City FC W
4–0
W
20 Sep
vs Sheffield United W
4–1
W
12 Sep
@ Bristol City W
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Wolverhampton W
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Bristol City W
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Nottingham Forest W
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aston Villa W and Newcastle United W.
What is the prediction for Aston Villa W vs Newcastle United W?
Our pick is Aston Villa W to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Aston Villa W vs Newcastle United W?
On our numbers Aston Villa W have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Newcastle United W 26%.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa W vs Newcastle United W?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa W vs Newcastle United W?
Our predicted score is Aston Villa W 1–0 Newcastle United W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Aston Villa W vs Newcastle United W?
Aston Villa W vs Newcastle United W (WSL Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Bescot Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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