Newcastle United W 66%Draw 19%Sunderland W 15%Expected goals 2.66 – 1.28
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultNewcastle United W to win ✗66% · @1.57
Double chanceNewcastle United W or draw ✗85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.73
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Newcastle United W vs Sunderland W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the WSL Cup brings Newcastle United W against Sunderland W at Gateshead International Stadium. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Newcastle United W, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Durham W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Sunderland W, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Leicester City FC W, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Sunderland W 1–1 Newcastle United W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newcastle United W 2.7 xG, Sunderland W 1.3 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newcastle United W 66%, draw 19%, Sunderland W 15%.
Lower-risk option: Newcastle United W or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newcastle United W 2–1 Sunderland W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newcastle United W66%fair 1.52 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @4.00
Sunderland W15%fair 6.52 · @4.33
3.93Expected goals
2.66Newcastle United W xG
1.28Sunderland W xG
57%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Newcastle United W 2.7 – 1.3 Sunderland W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Newcastle United W vs Sunderland W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Newcastle United W vs Sunderland W?
On our numbers Newcastle United W have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sunderland W 15%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle United W vs Sunderland W?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle United W vs Sunderland W?
Our predicted score is Newcastle United W 2–1 Sunderland W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Newcastle United W vs Sunderland W?
Newcastle United W vs Sunderland W (WSL Cup) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Gateshead International Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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