Manchester United W 75%Draw 9%Burnley W 16%Expected goals 4.26 – 2.14
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 2.30 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
2.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultManchester United W to win ✓75% · @1.03
Double chanceEither team to win ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @2.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 4–2 ✗5% · fair 19.15
Manchester United W vs Burnley W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Wednesday 28 October: Manchester United W v Burnley W in the WSL Cup, played at Leigh Sports Village.
Current form
Manchester United W, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Manchester City W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Burnley W, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Sheffield United W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Manchester United W, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Burnley W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manchester United W 4.3 xG, Burnley W 2.1 xG – a total near 6.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 95% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manchester United W 75%, draw 9%, Burnley W 16%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 2.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 2.30 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manchester United W 4–2 Burnley W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manchester United W75%fair 1.33 · @1.03
Draw9%fair 11.22 · @15.00
Burnley W16%fair 6.32 · @101.00
6.40Expected goals
4.26Manchester United W xG
2.14Burnley W xG
64%Both score
95%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
4–25%
3–25%
4–15%
3–15%
5–24%
5–14%
From our goals model: Manchester United W 4.3 – 2.1 Burnley W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester United W to win✓
75%
1.33
1.03
Double chance
Either team to win✓
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Manchester United W (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Manchester United W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Manchester United W to score first✓
66%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Manchester United W ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester United W / FT Manchester United W✓
53%
1.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 4–2✗
5%
19.15
–
Recent results
Manchester United W – last 6
DWWWWW
25 Oct
vs Manchester City W
1–1
D
21 Oct
@ Liverpool W
5–3
W
18 Oct
@ Charlton Athletic W
3–1
W
3 Oct
vs Liverpool W
1–0
W
30 Sep
@ Durham W
5–1
W
27 Sep
vs West Ham W
2–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Burnley W – last 6
LLWLDL
25 Oct
vs Sheffield United W
3–4
L
21 Oct
vs Aston Villa W
0–2
L
18 Oct
vs Durham W
3–2
W
4 Oct
@ Nottingham Forest W
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Bristol City W
0–0
D
18 Sep
@ Wolverhampton W
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester United W and Burnley W.
What is the prediction for Manchester United W vs Burnley W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.
Who will win Manchester United W vs Burnley W?
On our numbers Manchester United W have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Burnley W 16%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester United W vs Burnley W?
We expect about 6.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 95% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester United W vs Burnley W?
Our predicted score is Manchester United W 4–2 Burnley W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.4 goals in total.
When is Manchester United W vs Burnley W?
Manchester United W vs Burnley W (WSL Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Leigh Sports Village.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.