Aston Villa W 61%Draw 21%Birmingham City W 17%Expected goals 2.41 – 1.26
83%
Betarazi pick
Aston Villa W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultAston Villa W to win ✗61% · @1.70
Double chanceAston Villa W or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aston Villa W welcome Birmingham City W to Keys Park for a WSL Cup fixture on Wednesday 28 October (20:30 WAT).
Current form
Aston Villa W, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Everton W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Birmingham City W, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Charlton Athletic W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Aston Villa W, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Birmingham City W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aston Villa W 2.4 xG, Birmingham City W 1.3 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aston Villa W 61%, draw 21%, Birmingham City W 17%.
Lower-risk option: Aston Villa W or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aston Villa W or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aston Villa W 2–1 Birmingham City W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aston Villa W61%fair 1.63 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.75
Birmingham City W17%fair 5.77 · @4.00
3.67Expected goals
2.41Aston Villa W xG
1.26Birmingham City W xG
66%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
1–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Aston Villa W 2.4 – 1.3 Birmingham City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aston Villa W to win✗
61%
1.63
1.70
Double chance
Aston Villa W or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.53
1.44
Draw no bet
Aston Villa W (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Aston Villa W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
First team to score
Aston Villa W to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Aston Villa W ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aston Villa W / FT Aston Villa W✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Aston Villa W – last 6
WWWDWL
25 Oct
@ Everton W
3–2
W
21 Oct
@ Burnley W
2–0
W
18 Oct
vs Liverpool W
2–1
W
4 Oct
vs Crystal Palace W
1–1
D
30 Sep
vs Newcastle United W
3–1
W
27 Sep
@ Tottenham Hotspur W
0–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Birmingham City W – last 6
WWDLLD
25 Oct
vs Charlton Athletic W
1–0
W
21 Oct
@ Durham W
5–0
W
17 Oct
@ Arsenal W
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Everton W
1–2
L
30 Sep
vs Liverpool W
3–4
L
27 Sep
vs Crystal Palace W
3–3
D
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aston Villa W and Birmingham City W.
What is the prediction for Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W?
Our pick is Aston Villa W or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W?
On our numbers Aston Villa W have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Birmingham City W 17%.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W?
Our predicted score is Aston Villa W 2–1 Birmingham City W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W?
Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W (WSL Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Keys Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bristol City W1
Tottenham Hotspur W6
London City Lionesses W4
Crystal Palace W2
Manchester United W3
Burnley W0
Sheffield United W1
Everton W2
Charlton Athletic W1
West Ham W2