Sporting Gijón II 60%Draw 23%Lealtad 18%Expected goals 1.81 – 0.87
60%
Betarazi pick
Sporting Gijón II to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Picks by market
ResultSporting Gijón II to win ✓60% · @1.83
Double chanceSporting Gijón II or draw ✓82% · fair 1.21
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.08
Sporting Gijón II vs Lealtad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Sporting Gijón II v Lealtad in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2. In the table, Sporting Gijón II are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 10 matches; Lealtad are 3rd (among the top four) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sporting Gijón II, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Llanes, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Lealtad, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Praviano, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sporting Gijón II, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Lealtad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Gijón II 1.8 xG, Lealtad 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Gijón II 60%, draw 23%, Lealtad 18%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sporting Gijón II to win (60%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Gijón II 1–0 Lealtad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Gijón II60%fair 1.68 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.40
Lealtad18%fair 5.70 · @3.70
2.69Expected goals
1.81Sporting Gijón II xG
0.87Lealtad xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sporting Gijón II 1.8 – 0.9 Lealtad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Gijón II to win✓
60%
1.68
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Sporting Gijón II or draw✓
82%
1.21
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Sporting Gijón II (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Lealtad +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
–
First team to score
Sporting Gijón II to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Sporting Gijón II ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Gijón II / FT Sporting Gijón II✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.08
–
Recent results
Sporting Gijón II – last 6
WWWLDW
13 Sep
vs Llanes
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Praviano
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Llanes
1–0
W
21 Aug
@ Real Avilés
2–4
L
18 Aug
vs Llanera
2–2
D
14 Aug
vs Cultural Leonesa II
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lealtad – last 6
LWLDLL
12 Sep
vs Praviano
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ L'Entregu
1–0
W
3 May
@ Salamanca UDS
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Coruxo
2–2
D
29 Mar
vs Burgos Promesas
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Gijón II and Lealtad.
What is the prediction for Sporting Gijón II vs Lealtad?
Our pick is Sporting Gijón II to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Sporting Gijón II vs Lealtad?
On our numbers Sporting Gijón II have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lealtad 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijón II vs Lealtad?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijón II vs Lealtad?
Our predicted score is Sporting Gijón II 1–0 Lealtad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sporting Gijón II vs Lealtad?
Sporting Gijón II vs Lealtad (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
