Covadonga vs Siero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the Tercera División RFEF Group 2 brings Covadonga against Siero. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT. In the table, Covadonga are 1st, leading the league, on 23 points after 10 matches; Siero are 11th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Covadonga, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Colunga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Siero, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ceares, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Covadonga 5–0 Siero.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Covadonga 2.0 xG, Siero 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Covadonga 70%, draw 21%, Siero 9%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Covadonga to win (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Covadonga 2–0 Siero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Covadonga70%fair 1.43 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @4.80
Siero9%fair 11.17 · @8.00
2.63Expected goals
2.03Covadonga xG
0.60Siero xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–015%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Covadonga 2.0 – 0.6 Siero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Covadonga to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Covadonga vs Siero?
On our numbers Covadonga have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Siero 9%.
How many goals will there be in Covadonga vs Siero?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Covadonga vs Siero?
Our predicted score is Covadonga 2–0 Siero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Covadonga vs Siero?
Covadonga vs Siero (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
