Santurtzi vs Lagun Onak: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lagun Onak travel to face Santurtzi on Sunday 27 September in the Tercera División RFEF Group 4 – the ball rolls at 10:15 WAT. In the table, Santurtzi are 16th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 10 matches; Lagun Onak are 13th (lower half) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Santurtzi, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Derio, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Lagun Onak, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Ignacio, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lagun Onak, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Santurtzi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santurtzi 1.0 xG, Lagun Onak 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santurtzi 37%, draw 25%, Lagun Onak 39%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.91, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santurtzi 1–1 Lagun Onak. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santurtzi37%fair 2.73 · @2.75
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
Lagun Onak39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
2.00Expected goals
0.98Santurtzi xG
1.02Lagun Onak xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Santurtzi 1.0 – 1.0 Lagun Onak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lagun Onak to win✓
39%
2.59
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Draw no bet
Lagun Onak (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Santurtzi +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Lagun Onak to score first✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.51
–
Recent results
Santurtzi – last 6
LWLLLD
20 Sep
@ Derio
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Durango
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Beasain
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Eibar III
1–3
L
9 May
@ Durango
1–4
L
26 Apr
@ Zamudio
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lagun Onak – last 6
WLDDLW
19 Sep
vs San Ignacio
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Real Sociedad III
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Leioa
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Beasain
2–2
D
24 May
@ Derio
0–2
L
17 May
vs Derio
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santurtzi and Lagun Onak.
What is the prediction for Santurtzi vs Lagun Onak?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Santurtzi vs Lagun Onak?
On our numbers Santurtzi have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lagun Onak 39%.
How many goals will there be in Santurtzi vs Lagun Onak?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santurtzi vs Lagun Onak?
Our predicted score is Santurtzi 1–1 Lagun Onak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Santurtzi vs Lagun Onak?
Santurtzi vs Lagun Onak (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 10:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
