Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aretxabaleta welcome Aurrerá Vitoria for a Tercera División RFEF Group 4 fixture on Sunday 8 November (16:30 WAT). In the table, Aretxabaleta are 7th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Aurrerá Vitoria are 2nd (among the top four) with 22.
Current form
Aretxabaleta, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Amurrio Club, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Aurrerá Vitoria, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Santurtzi, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aretxabaleta 1.4 xG, Aurrerá Vitoria 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aretxabaleta 43%, draw 24%, Aurrerá Vitoria 33%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.76.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aretxabaleta 1–1 Aurrerá Vitoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aretxabaleta43%fair 2.32 · @2.26
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.93
Aurrerá Vitoria33%fair 3.05 · @2.95
2.59Expected goals
1.40Aretxabaleta xG
1.18Aurrerá Vitoria xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Aretxabaleta 1.4 – 1.2 Aurrerá Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aretxabaleta to win✗
43%
2.32
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.76
Draw no bet
Aretxabaleta (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Aurrerá Vitoria +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Aretxabaleta to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aretxabaleta / FT Aretxabaleta✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
Aretxabaleta – last 6
WLWWWL
1 Nov
@ Amurrio Club
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Eibar III
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ R. Union B
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Pasaia KE
4–2
W
3 Oct
@ Lagun Onak
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Derio
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Aurrerá Vitoria – last 6
WLWLWW
31 Oct
vs Santurtzi
2–1
W
24 Oct
@ San Ignacio
0–5
L
17 Oct
vs Real Sociedad III
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ Leioa
0–4
L
3 Oct
vs Erandio
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ Sodupe
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aretxabaleta and Aurrerá Vitoria.
What is the prediction for Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
On our numbers Aretxabaleta have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aurrerá Vitoria 33%.
How many goals will there be in Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
Our predicted score is Aretxabaleta 1–1 Aurrerá Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
