Value bet: Montañesa to win @ 3.00 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEuropa II to win ✓40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.18
Europa II vs Montañesa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the Tercera División RFEF Group 5 brings Europa II against Montañesa. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Europa II are 2nd, among the top four, on 17 points after 10 matches; Montañesa are 4th (among the top four) with 17. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Europa II, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Martinenc, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Montañesa, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Grama, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Montañesa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Europa II.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Europa II 4–2 Montañesa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Europa II 1.1 xG, Montañesa 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Europa II 40%, draw 24%, Montañesa 35%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Montañesa to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Europa II 1–1 Montañesa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Europa II40%fair 2.49 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
Montañesa35%fair 2.82 · @3.00
2.17Expected goals
1.13Europa II xG
1.04Montañesa xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Europa II 1.1 – 1.0 Montañesa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Europa II vs Montañesa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Europa II vs Montañesa?
On our numbers Europa II have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Montañesa 35%.
How many goals will there be in Europa II vs Montañesa?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Europa II vs Montañesa?
Our predicted score is Europa II 1–1 Montañesa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Europa II vs Montañesa?
Europa II vs Montañesa (Tercera División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
