Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Atlètic Lleida to win @ 3.20 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPeralada to win ✓39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.18
Peralada vs Atlètic Lleida: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Peralada v Atlètic Lleida in the Tercera División RFEF Group 5. In the table, Peralada are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Atlètic Lleida are 7th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Peralada, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vilanova, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Atlètic Lleida, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mollerussa, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Peralada, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Atlètic Lleida.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Peralada 1.1 xG, Atlètic Lleida 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Peralada 39%, draw 23%, Atlètic Lleida 38%.
Price worth noting: Atlètic Lleida to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Peralada 1–1 Atlètic Lleida. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Peralada39%fair 2.56 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Atlètic Lleida38%fair 2.63 · @3.20
2.21Expected goals
1.12Peralada xG
1.10Atlètic Lleida xG
45%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Peralada 1.1 – 1.1 Atlètic Lleida expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Peralada to win✓
39%
2.56
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Peralada (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Atlètic Lleida +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Peralada to score first✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Peralada / FT Peralada✓
20%
4.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.18
–
Recent results
Peralada – last 6
DLDWDW
19 Sep
@ Vilanova
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Tona
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ San Cristóbal
1–1
D
10 May
vs Montañesa
5–0
W
3 May
@ Cerdanyola del Vallès
2–2
D
19 Apr
vs Vic
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atlètic Lleida – last 6
WLDDLL
20 Sep
vs Mollerussa
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ L'Hospitalet
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Cornellà
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Manresa
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Reddis
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Barbastro
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peralada and Atlètic Lleida.
What is the prediction for Peralada vs Atlètic Lleida?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Peralada vs Atlètic Lleida?
On our numbers Peralada have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atlètic Lleida 38%.
How many goals will there be in Peralada vs Atlètic Lleida?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peralada vs Atlètic Lleida?
Our predicted score is Peralada 1–1 Atlètic Lleida, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Peralada vs Atlètic Lleida?
Peralada vs Atlètic Lleida (Tercera División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
