SS Reyes II 62%Draw 21%Real Aranjuez 17%Expected goals 2.18 – 1.07
83%
Betarazi pick
SS Reyes II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: SS Reyes II to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSS Reyes II to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceSS Reyes II or draw ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
SS Reyes II vs Real Aranjuez: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Aranjuez travel to face SS Reyes II on Sunday 4 October in the Tercera División RFEF Group 7 – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, SS Reyes II are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Real Aranjuez are 13th (lower half) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
SS Reyes II, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Pozuelo Alarcón, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Real Aranjuez, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Trival Valderas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours SS Reyes II, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Real Aranjuez.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SS Reyes II 2.2 xG, Real Aranjuez 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SS Reyes II 62%, draw 21%, Real Aranjuez 17%.
Lower-risk option: SS Reyes II or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: SS Reyes II to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was SS Reyes II or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: SS Reyes II 2–1 Real Aranjuez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SS Reyes II62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.25
Real Aranjuez17%fair 5.96 · @3.60
3.25Expected goals
2.18SS Reyes II xG
1.07Real Aranjuez xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: SS Reyes II 2.2 – 1.1 Real Aranjuez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SS Reyes II to win✗
62%
1.61
1.91 ▲
Double chance
SS Reyes II or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
SS Reyes II (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
SS Reyes II -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
SS Reyes II to score first
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
SS Reyes II ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SS Reyes II / FT SS Reyes II✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
SS Reyes II – last 6
LLWLWW
27 Sep
@ Pozuelo Alarcón
2–3
L
20 Sep
vs Parla Escuela
0–3
L
13 Sep
@ Villanueva Pardillo
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Unión Adarve
0–2
L
10 May
@ Villaverde-Boetticher
4–0
W
12 Apr
@ Leganés II
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Real Aranjuez – last 5
LDLLL
26 Sep
vs Trival Valderas
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ RC Alcobendas
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Galapagar
2–5
L
6 Sep
@ Leganés II
0–2
L
2 Sep
vs Deportivo Alavés III
1–6
L
1.0Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SS Reyes II and Real Aranjuez.
What is the prediction for SS Reyes II vs Real Aranjuez?
Our pick is SS Reyes II or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win SS Reyes II vs Real Aranjuez?
On our numbers SS Reyes II have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Aranjuez 17%.
How many goals will there be in SS Reyes II vs Real Aranjuez?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SS Reyes II vs Real Aranjuez?
Our predicted score is SS Reyes II 2–1 Real Aranjuez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is SS Reyes II vs Real Aranjuez?
SS Reyes II vs Real Aranjuez (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
