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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Trival Valderas v Las Rozas: numbers & prediction

2–1
FT
Trival Valderas 40%Draw 24%Las Rozas 36% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.38
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultTrival Valderas to win ✓40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.55

Trival Valderas vs Las Rozas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Trival Valderas welcome Las Rozas for a Tercera División RFEF Group 7 fixture on Sunday 4 October (10:30 WAT). In the table, Trival Valderas are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Las Rozas are 3rd (among the top four) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Trival Valderas, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Real Aranjuez, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Las Rozas, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Galapagar, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Jun 2026) it ended Trival Valderas 3–1 Las Rozas. The last 3 head-to-heads: Trival Valderas 2 wins, Las Rozas 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Trival Valderas 1.5 xG, Las Rozas 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Trival Valderas 40%, draw 24%, Las Rozas 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trival Valderas 1–1 Las Rozas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Trival Valderas40%fair 2.49 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.90
Las Rozas36%fair 2.81 · @2.75
2.86Expected goals
1.48Trival Valderas xG
1.38Las Rozas xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%

From our goals model: Trival Valderas 1.5 – 1.4 Las Rozas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTrival Valderas to win ✓40%2.492.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.75 ▲
Draw no betTrival Valderas (draw no bet) ✓53%1.89–
Asian handicapLas Rozas +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreTrival Valderas to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Trival Valderas / FT Trival Valderas ✗23%4.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.55–

Recent results

Trival Valderas – last 6

WDDWLD
26 Sep@ Real Aranjuez2–1W
20 Sepvs Pozuelo Alarcón1–1D
13 Sep@ Parla Escuela0–0D
6 Sepvs Villanueva Pardillo3–1W
20 Jun@ La Nucía0–1L
14 Junvs La Nucía0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Las Rozas – last 6

DWWLDW
20 Sep@ Galapagar1–1D
13 Sepvs Leganés II3–2W
5 Sep@ Cala Pozuelo3–1W
7 Jun@ Trival Valderas1–3L
31 Mayvs Trival Valderas1–1D
24 May@ Torrejón3–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Jun 2026Trival Valderas v Las Rozas3–1
31 May 2026Las Rozas v Trival Valderas1–1
22 Mar 2026Las Rozas v Trival Valderas2–3
Trival Valderas vs Las Rozas head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 7 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Móstoles10721+1723
2Colonia Moscardó10460+1018
3Las Rozas10532+518
4Galapagar10532+518
5Cala Pozuelo10523+217
6Unión Adarve10442+416
7Leganés II10433+715
8Trival Valderas10361+315
9Pozuelo Alarcón10433-315
10Torrejón10424+714
11Fuenlabrada10343+113
12Parla Escuela10244-410
13Real Aranjuez10244-610
14Rayo Vallecano II10235-59
15RC Alcobendas10235-79
16Alcobendas Sport10145-47
17SS Reyes II10217-137
18Villanueva Pardillo10217-197

More Tercera División RFEF Group 7 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Trival Valderas vs Las Rozas?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Trival Valderas vs Las Rozas?

On our numbers Trival Valderas have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Las Rozas 36%.

How many goals will there be in Trival Valderas vs Las Rozas?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Trival Valderas vs Las Rozas?

Our predicted score is Trival Valderas 1–1 Las Rozas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Trival Valderas vs Las Rozas?

Trival Valderas vs Las Rozas (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.