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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Porreres v Santanyí: numbers & prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 11 · Spain

Porreres

WWLLW
0–1
FT

Santanyí

DWDDL
Porreres 62%Draw 23%Santanyí 14% Expected goals 1.70 – 0.68
86%
Betarazi pick

Porreres or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Porreres to win @ 1.83 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPorreres to win ✗62% · @1.83
Double chancePorreres or draw ✗86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.01

Porreres vs Santanyí: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:30 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Porreres v Santanyí in the Tercera División RFEF Group 11. In the table, Porreres are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 10 matches; Santanyí are 10th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Porreres, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Arenal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Santanyí, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mercadal, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Porreres 1.7 xG, Santanyí 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Porreres 62%, draw 23%, Santanyí 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Porreres or draw (86%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Porreres to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Porreres or draw (86%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Porreres 1–0 Santanyí. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Porreres62%fair 1.61 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.40
Santanyí14%fair 6.91 · @3.60
2.38Expected goals
1.70Porreres xG
0.68Santanyí xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Porreres 1.7 – 0.7 Santanyí expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPorreres to win ✗62%1.611.83 ▲
Double chancePorreres or draw ✗86%1.171.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.961.80
Draw no betPorreres (draw no bet) ✗81%1.23–
Asian handicapPorreres -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.74–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scorePorreres to score first ✗65%1.54–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Porreres / FT Porreres ✗39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.01–

Recent results

Porreres – last 6

WWLLWD
26 Sep@ Arenal2–1W
20 Sepvs Inter Ibiza2–1W
13 Sep@ Formentera1–3L
9 Sep@ Binéfar0–1L
6 Sepvs Andratx2–0W
3 Mayvs Alcoyano0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Santanyí – last 6

DWDDLW
26 Sepvs Mercadal1–1D
19 Sep@ Alcúdia2–1W
13 Sepvs Constància1–1D
6 Sep@ Cardassar0–0D
30 Aug@ Andratx1–2L
29 Aug@ Collerense2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Porreres and Santanyí.

Porreres vs Santanyí head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 11 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Platges Calvià10802+1424
2Ibiza Islas Pitiusas9630+1221
3Constància10541+1019
4Manacor9531+918
5Porreres10604+518
6PE Sant Jordi9441+616
7Llosetense10514016
8Cardassar10424+414
9Formentera9423+414
10Santanyí9351+414
11Binissalem9414+113
12Alcúdia10406-512
13Andratx10235-59
14Mercadal10235-79
15Sineu10226-108
16Migjorn10127-135
17Inter Ibiza9126-155
18Arenal9117-144

More Tercera División RFEF Group 11 predictions

League hub
FT Ibiza Islas Pitiusas2 Formentera0 159%1.85X22%3.10220%3.90 1.5–0.7xG 1XIbiza Islas Pitiusas or draw 80%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Porreres vs Santanyí?

Our pick is Porreres or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Porreres vs Santanyí?

On our numbers Porreres have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santanyí 14%.

How many goals will there be in Porreres vs Santanyí?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Porreres vs Santanyí?

Our predicted score is Porreres 1–0 Santanyí, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Porreres vs Santanyí?

Porreres vs Santanyí (Tercera División RFEF Group 11) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.