Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIbiza Islas Pitiusas to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceIbiza Islas Pitiusas or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.78
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Formentera: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the Tercera División RFEF Group 11 brings Ibiza Islas Pitiusas against Formentera. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Ibiza Islas Pitiusas are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 9 matches; Formentera are 9th (upper half) with 14.
Current form
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Andratx, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Formentera, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over PE Sant Jordi, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1.5 xG, Formentera 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 59%, draw 22%, Formentera 20%.
Lower-risk option: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ibiza Islas Pitiusas or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1–0 Formentera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas59%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.10
Formentera20%fair 5.09 · @3.90
2.13Expected goals
1.46Ibiza Islas Pitiusas xG
0.67Formentera xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
0–012%
1–112%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1.5 – 0.7 Formentera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas to win✓
59%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.91
Draw no bet
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Formentera +1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ibiza Islas Pitiusas / FT Ibiza Islas Pitiusas✗
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.78
–
Recent results
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas – last 6
DWWWWD
26 Sep
@ Andratx
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Sineu
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Migjorn
3–1
W
6 Sep
vs Platges Calvià
2–1
W
3 May
vs Poblense
3–1
W
26 Apr
vs Andratx
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Formentera – last 6
WDWDDW
27 Sep
vs PE Sant Jordi
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Llosetense
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Porreres
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Mercadal
1–1
D
10 May
@ Llosetense
2–2
D
3 May
vs Cardassar
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ibiza Islas Pitiusas and Formentera.
What is the prediction for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Formentera?
Our pick is Ibiza Islas Pitiusas or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Formentera?
On our numbers Ibiza Islas Pitiusas have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Formentera 20%.
How many goals will there be in Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Formentera?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Formentera?
Our predicted score is Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1–0 Formentera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Formentera?
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Formentera (Tercera División RFEF Group 11) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
