Gévora vs Llerenense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Tercera División RFEF Group 14 brings Gévora against Llerenense. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Gévora are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Llerenense are 2nd (among the top four) with 22.
Current form
Gévora, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Moralo, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Llerenense, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with CD Zafra, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gévora 1.1 xG, Llerenense 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gévora 36%, draw 25%, Llerenense 39%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gévora 1–1 Llerenense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gévora36%fair 2.76 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
Llerenense39%fair 2.57 · @2.62
2.22Expected goals
1.08Gévora xG
1.14Llerenense xG
57%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gévora 1.1 – 1.1 Llerenense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Llerenense to win✓
39%
2.57
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.75
Draw no bet
Llerenense (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Gévora +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Llerenense to score first
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Llerenense / FT Llerenense✗
21%
4.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
13.15
–
Recent results
Gévora – last 6
DWDWLW
4 Oct
@ Moralo
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Atlético Pueblonuevo
3–1
W
20 Sep
@ Quintana
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Plasencia
4–2
W
5 Sep
@ Castuera
0–5
L
26 Apr
@ Montijo
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Llerenense – last 6
DWWWLD
27 Sep
@ CD Zafra
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Jaraíz
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Villanovense
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Guadiana
1–0
W
1 May
@ Puebla Calzada
1–4
L
19 Apr
@ Montehermoso
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gévora and Llerenense.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Gévora vs Llerenense?
On our numbers Gévora have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Llerenense 39%.
How many goals will there be in Gévora vs Llerenense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gévora vs Llerenense?
Our predicted score is Gévora 1–1 Llerenense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gévora vs Llerenense?
Gévora vs Llerenense (Tercera División RFEF Group 14) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
