Villanovense vs Azuaga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Villanovense v Azuaga in the Tercera División RFEF Group 14. In the table, Villanovense are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 10 matches; Azuaga are 1st (leading the league) with 23.
Current form
Villanovense, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cabeza Buey, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Azuaga, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Guadiana, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Azuaga, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Villanovense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villanovense 1.2 xG, Azuaga 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villanovense 35%, draw 25%, Azuaga 40%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villanovense 1–1 Azuaga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villanovense35%fair 2.88 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.75
Azuaga40%fair 2.48 · @2.50
2.50Expected goals
1.19Villanovense xG
1.31Azuaga xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Villanovense 1.2 – 1.3 Azuaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Azuaga to win✗
40%
2.48
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Azuaga (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Villanovense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Azuaga to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Azuaga / FT Azuaga✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.94
–
Recent results
Villanovense – last 6
DWWLLL
4 Oct
@ Cabeza Buey
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Montijo
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Villafranca
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Llerenense
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Moralo
1–2
L
29 Jul
vs Cacereño
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Azuaga – last 6
WWWWWL
4 Oct
vs Guadiana
4–0
W
27 Sep
vs Jerez
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Cabeza Buey
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Montijo
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Villafranca
4–1
W
17 May
vs Moralo
0–1
L
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villanovense and Azuaga.
What is the prediction for Villanovense vs Azuaga?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Villanovense vs Azuaga?
On our numbers Villanovense have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Azuaga 40%.
How many goals will there be in Villanovense vs Azuaga?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villanovense vs Azuaga?
Our predicted score is Villanovense 1–1 Azuaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Villanovense vs Azuaga?
Villanovense vs Azuaga (Tercera División RFEF Group 14) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
