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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gévora v Azuaga: numbers & prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 14 · Spain

Gévora

LWLLD
1–1
FT

Azuaga

DWWLW
Gévora 14%Draw 23%Azuaga 63% Expected goals 0.82 – 1.96
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.31 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.31Odds
2

Value bet: Azuaga to win @ 1.72 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAzuaga to win ✗63% · @1.72
Double chanceAzuaga or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.24

Gévora vs Azuaga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gévora welcome Azuaga for a Tercera División RFEF Group 14 fixture on Sunday 8 November (16:30 WAT). In the table, Gévora are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Azuaga are 1st (leading the league) with 23.

Current form

Gévora, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Cabeza Buey, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Azuaga, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Santa Amalia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Azuaga, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Gévora.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gévora 0.8 xG, Azuaga 2.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gévora 14%, draw 23%, Azuaga 63%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.92.
  • Price worth noting: Azuaga to win @1.72 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gévora 0–2 Azuaga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gévora14%fair 7.28 · @4.30
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.25
Azuaga63%fair 1.59 · @1.72
2.78Expected goals
0.82Gévora xG
1.96Azuaga xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%

From our goals model: Gévora 0.8 – 2.0 Azuaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAzuaga to win ✗63%1.591.72 ▲
Double chanceAzuaga or draw ✓86%1.161.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.871.92
Draw no betAzuaga (draw no bet)82%1.22–
Asian handicapAzuaga -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.31
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.64
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.19
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreAzuaga to score first ✗66%1.51–
Half-time resultAzuaga ahead at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Azuaga / FT Azuaga ✗41%2.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.24–

Recent results

Gévora – last 6

LWLLDW
1 Nov@ Cabeza Buey2–3L
25 Octvs Montijo2–0W
18 Oct@ Villafranca1–2L
11 Octvs Llerenense1–2L
4 Oct@ Moralo1–1D
27 Sepvs Atlético Pueblonuevo3–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Azuaga – last 6

DWWLWW
1 Novvs Santa Amalia0–0D
25 Oct@ CD Zafra2–1W
18 Octvs Jaraíz3–2W
11 Oct@ Villanovense0–2L
4 Octvs Guadiana4–0W
27 Sepvs Jerez2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gévora and Azuaga.

Gévora vs Azuaga head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 14 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Azuaga10721+1223
2Llerenense10640+822
3Moralo10631+621
4Castuera10622+1220
5Villanovense10532+918
6Puebla Calzada10523+517
7CD Zafra10343+413
8Cabeza Buey10343+113
9Quintana10343+113
10Villafranca10415013
11Jaraíz10334+212
12Santa Amalia10262+212
13Gévora10334-212
14Jerez10334-412
15Plasencia10154-78
16Montijo10226-88
17Atlético Pueblonuevo10046-154
18Guadiana10019-261

More Tercera División RFEF Group 14 predictions

League hub
FT Santa Amalia4 Guadiana0 164%1.31X21%5.20214%6.00 2.1–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.58 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gévora vs Azuaga?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.

Who will win Gévora vs Azuaga?

On our numbers Gévora have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Azuaga 63%.

How many goals will there be in Gévora vs Azuaga?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gévora vs Azuaga?

Our predicted score is Gévora 0–2 Azuaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Gévora vs Azuaga?

Gévora vs Azuaga (Tercera División RFEF Group 14) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.