Santa Amalia 64%Draw 21%Guadiana 14%Expected goals 2.06 – 0.88
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.58 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.58Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSanta Amalia to win ✓64% · @1.31
Double chanceSanta Amalia or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Santa Amalia vs Guadiana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Santa Amalia v Guadiana in the Tercera División RFEF Group 14. In the table, Santa Amalia are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Guadiana are 18th (in the drop zone) with 1.
Current form
Santa Amalia, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Azuaga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Guadiana, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to CD Zafra, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Santa Amalia, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Guadiana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santa Amalia 2.1 xG, Guadiana 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Amalia 64%, draw 21%, Guadiana 14%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.58). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Amalia 2–0 Guadiana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Amalia64%fair 1.56 · @1.31
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @5.20
Guadiana14%fair 6.95 · @6.00
2.93Expected goals
2.06Santa Amalia xG
0.88Guadiana xG
55%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Santa Amalia 2.1 – 0.9 Guadiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Amalia to win✓
64%
1.56
1.31
Double chance
Santa Amalia or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Santa Amalia (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Santa Amalia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.58
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.23
First team to score
Santa Amalia to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Santa Amalia ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Amalia / FT Santa Amalia✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Santa Amalia – last 6
DDLDLD
1 Nov
@ Azuaga
0–0
D
25 Oct
vs Cabeza Buey
3–3
D
21 Oct
@ Llerenense
0–3
L
18 Oct
@ Montijo
0–0
D
9 Oct
vs Villafranca
1–3
L
27 Sep
vs Moralo
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guadiana – last 6
LLLLLD
1 Nov
vs CD Zafra
0–4
L
25 Oct
@ Jaraíz
0–4
L
18 Oct
vs Villanovense
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs Jerez
1–4
L
4 Oct
@ Azuaga
0–4
L
27 Sep
vs Cabeza Buey
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Amalia and Guadiana.
What is the prediction for Santa Amalia vs Guadiana?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.58.
Who will win Santa Amalia vs Guadiana?
On our numbers Santa Amalia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Guadiana 14%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Amalia vs Guadiana?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Amalia vs Guadiana?
Our predicted score is Santa Amalia 2–0 Guadiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Santa Amalia vs Guadiana?
Santa Amalia vs Guadiana (Tercera División RFEF Group 14) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
