Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultMutilvera to win ✓65% · @1.60
Double chanceMutilvera or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.44
Mutilvera vs Avance Ezcabarte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mutilvera welcome Avance Ezcabarte for a Tercera División RFEF Group 15 fixture on Saturday 26 September (15:30 WAT). In the table, Mutilvera are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 10 matches; Avance Ezcabarte are 8th (upper half) with 14.
Current form
Mutilvera, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Valle Egüés, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Avance Ezcabarte, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Subiza, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mutilvera 1.7 xG, Avance Ezcabarte 0.5 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 57% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mutilvera 65%, draw 24%, Avance Ezcabarte 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mutilvera to win (65%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mutilvera 1–0 Avance Ezcabarte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mutilvera65%fair 1.54 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.70
Avance Ezcabarte12%fair 8.55 · @4.50
2.20Expected goals
1.66Mutilvera xG
0.54Avance Ezcabarte xG
37%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mutilvera 1.7 – 0.5 Avance Ezcabarte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mutilvera to win✓
65%
1.54
1.60
Double chance
Mutilvera or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
–
Draw no bet
Mutilvera (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Mutilvera -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Mutilvera to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mutilvera / FT Mutilvera✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
18%
5.44
–
Recent results
Mutilvera – last 6
DWDDLL
19 Sep
@ Valle Egüés
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Gazte Berriak
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Huarte
0–0
D
18 Aug
vs Peña Sport
1–1
D
3 May
vs Amorebieta
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ UD Logroñés
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Avance Ezcabarte – last 6
DDWLLW
19 Sep
vs Subiza
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Beti Onak
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Txantrea
4–0
W
14 Aug
@ San Juan
1–2
L
1 Apr
@ Valle Egüés
0–1
L
28 Mar
vs Huarte
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mutilvera and Avance Ezcabarte.
What is the prediction for Mutilvera vs Avance Ezcabarte?
Our pick is Mutilvera to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Mutilvera vs Avance Ezcabarte?
On our numbers Mutilvera have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Avance Ezcabarte 12%.
How many goals will there be in Mutilvera vs Avance Ezcabarte?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mutilvera vs Avance Ezcabarte?
Our predicted score is Mutilvera 1–0 Avance Ezcabarte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Mutilvera vs Avance Ezcabarte?
Mutilvera vs Avance Ezcabarte (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
