Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Txantrea to win @ 1.90 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTxantrea to win ✗62% · @1.90
Double chanceTxantrea or draw ✓83% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.21
Txantrea vs Bidezarra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bidezarra travel to face Txantrea on Saturday 26 September in the Tercera División RFEF Group 15 – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Txantrea are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Bidezarra are 18th (in the drop zone) with 5.
Current form
Txantrea, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Juan, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Bidezarra, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Izarra, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Txantrea 1.6 xG, Bidezarra 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Txantrea 62%, draw 21%, Bidezarra 17%.
Lower-risk option: Txantrea or draw (83%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: Txantrea to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Txantrea or draw (83%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Txantrea 1–0 Bidezarra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Txantrea62%fair 1.61 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
Bidezarra17%fair 5.87 · @3.50
2.32Expected goals
1.63Txantrea xG
0.68Bidezarra xG
43%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Txantrea 1.6 – 0.7 Bidezarra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Txantrea to win✗
62%
1.61
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Txantrea or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Txantrea (draw no bet)
78%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Txantrea -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Txantrea to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Txantrea / FT Txantrea✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.21
–
Recent results
Txantrea – last 6
WDLLLD
19 Sep
@ San Juan
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Cirbonero
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Avance Ezcabarte
0–4
L
2 Apr
vs Pamplona
1–3
L
18 Mar
@ Beti Onak
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Subiza
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bidezarra – last 6
LLDDWL
19 Sep
vs Izarra
0–4
L
12 Sep
@ Cortes
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Beti Kozkor
0–0
D
1 Apr
vs Cirbonero
0–0
D
19 Mar
vs Subiza
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ Avance Ezcabarte
0–3
L
0.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Txantrea and Bidezarra.
Our pick is Txantrea or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Txantrea vs Bidezarra?
On our numbers Txantrea have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bidezarra 17%.
How many goals will there be in Txantrea vs Bidezarra?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Txantrea vs Bidezarra?
Our predicted score is Txantrea 1–0 Bidezarra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Txantrea vs Bidezarra?
Txantrea vs Bidezarra (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
