Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultBerceo to win ✓59% · @1.60
Double chanceBerceo or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 15.05
Berceo vs San Marcial: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Marcial travel to face Berceo on Sunday 27 September in the Tercera División RFEF Group 16 – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Berceo are 6th, upper half, on 18 points after 10 matches; San Marcial are 10th (lower half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Berceo, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cenicero, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
San Marcial, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Comillas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Berceo 1.8 xG, San Marcial 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Berceo 59%, draw 23%, San Marcial 18%.
Lower-risk option: Berceo or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Berceo to win (59%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Berceo 1–0 San Marcial. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Berceo59%fair 1.70 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.75
San Marcial18%fair 5.63 · @4.50
2.73Expected goals
1.83Berceo xG
0.90San Marcial xG
46%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Berceo 1.8 – 0.9 San Marcial expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Berceo to win✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Double chance
Berceo or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Berceo (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
San Marcial +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Berceo to score first✗
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Berceo ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Berceo / FT Berceo✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
15.05
–
Recent results
Berceo – last 6
LWWWWL
20 Sep
@ Cenicero
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs River Ebro
7–0
W
5 Sep
@ Yagüe
2–1
W
30 Apr
vs Yagüe
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Villegas
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Calahorra
0–2
L
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
San Marcial – last 6
DDWWDD
18 Sep
vs Comillas
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Varea
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Vianés
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Comillas
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Vianés
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs La Calzada
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Berceo and San Marcial.
Our pick is Berceo to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Berceo vs San Marcial?
On our numbers Berceo have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Marcial 18%.
How many goals will there be in Berceo vs San Marcial?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Berceo vs San Marcial?
Our predicted score is Berceo 1–0 San Marcial, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Berceo vs San Marcial?
Berceo vs San Marcial (Tercera División RFEF Group 16) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
