Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultYagüe to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.53
Yagüe vs Cenicero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cenicero travel to face Yagüe on Saturday 3 October in the Tercera División RFEF Group 16 – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Yagüe are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Cenicero are 16th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Yagüe, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Haro Deportivo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Cenicero, last 4: LWDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to River Ebro, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cenicero, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Yagüe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yagüe 1.7 xG, Cenicero 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yagüe 61%, draw 17%, Cenicero 22%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Yagüe to win (61%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yagüe 1–0 Cenicero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yagüe61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw17%fair 5.89 · @3.50
Cenicero22%fair 4.60 · @3.10
2.50Expected goals
1.68Yagüe xG
0.82Cenicero xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Yagüe 1.7 – 0.8 Cenicero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yagüe to win✓
61%
1.63
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.65
Draw no bet
Yagüe (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Cenicero +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Yagüe to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yagüe / FT Yagüe✓
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
Yagüe – last 6
LWLLLD
27 Sep
@ Haro Deportivo
0–3
L
18 Sep
vs River Ebro
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Alfaro
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Berceo
1–2
L
30 Apr
@ Berceo
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Comillas
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cenicero – last 4
LWDD
26 Sep
@ River Ebro
2–3
L
20 Sep
vs Berceo
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Comillas
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Varea
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yagüe and Cenicero.
Our pick is Yagüe to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Yagüe vs Cenicero?
On our numbers Yagüe have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Cenicero 22%.
How many goals will there be in Yagüe vs Cenicero?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yagüe vs Cenicero?
Our predicted score is Yagüe 1–0 Cenicero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Yagüe vs Cenicero?
Yagüe vs Cenicero (Tercera División RFEF Group 16) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
