Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.42
Cenicero vs San Marcial: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Marcial travel to face Cenicero on Sunday 11 October in the Tercera División RFEF Group 16 – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Cenicero are 16th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 10 matches; San Marcial are 10th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Cenicero, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Yagüe, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
San Marcial, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with River Ebro, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours San Marcial, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Cenicero.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cenicero 1.3 xG, San Marcial 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cenicero 44%, draw 22%, San Marcial 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.90). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cenicero 1–1 San Marcial. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cenicero44%fair 2.27 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
San Marcial34%fair 2.91 · @3.00
2.39Expected goals
1.29Cenicero xG
1.09San Marcial xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cenicero 1.3 – 1.1 San Marcial expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cenicero to win✗
44%
2.27
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Cenicero (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
San Marcial +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Cenicero to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cenicero / FT Cenicero✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.42
–
Recent results
Cenicero – last 5
LLWDD
3 Oct
@ Yagüe
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ River Ebro
2–3
L
20 Sep
vs Berceo
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Comillas
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Varea
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
San Marcial – last 6
DLDDWW
4 Oct
vs River Ebro
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Berceo
1–2
L
18 Sep
vs Comillas
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Varea
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Vianés
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Comillas
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cenicero and San Marcial.
What is the prediction for Cenicero vs San Marcial?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Cenicero vs San Marcial?
On our numbers Cenicero have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Marcial 34%.
How many goals will there be in Cenicero vs San Marcial?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cenicero vs San Marcial?
Our predicted score is Cenicero 1–1 San Marcial, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cenicero vs San Marcial?
Cenicero vs San Marcial (Tercera División RFEF Group 16) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
