Value bet: La Solana to win @ 3.30 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlmansa to win ✓39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.76
Almansa vs La Solana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Almansa welcome La Solana for a Tercera División RFEF Group 18 fixture on Sunday 13 September (11:00 WAT). In the table, Almansa are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; La Solana are 14th (lower half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
La Solana, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Manchego, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almansa 1.5 xG, La Solana 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almansa 39%, draw 24%, La Solana 37%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: La Solana to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almansa 1–1 La Solana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almansa39%fair 2.59 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
La Solana37%fair 2.70 · @3.30
3.00Expected goals
1.52Almansa xG
1.48La Solana xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Almansa 1.5 – 1.5 La Solana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almansa to win✓
39%
2.59
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.83
Draw no bet
Almansa (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
La Solana +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Almansa to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almansa / FT Almansa✓
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
Almansa – last 1
L
5 Sep
@ Noblejas
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
La Solana – last 6
LLLLDL
5 Sep
vs Manchego
0–1
L
2 Apr
vs Villarrobledo
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Albacete II
0–4
L
22 Mar
@ Sonseca
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Toledo
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Cazalegas
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almansa and La Solana.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Almansa vs La Solana?
On our numbers Almansa have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and La Solana 37%.
How many goals will there be in Almansa vs La Solana?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almansa vs La Solana?
Our predicted score is Almansa 1–1 La Solana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Almansa vs La Solana?
Almansa vs La Solana (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
