Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIllescas to win ✓66% · @1.50
Double chanceIllescas or draw ✓89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Illescas vs La Solana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Tercera División RFEF Group 18 brings Illescas against La Solana. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Illescas are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; La Solana are 14th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Illescas, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Noblejas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
La Solana, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Villarrobledo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Illescas, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for La Solana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Illescas 1.7 xG, La Solana 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Illescas 66%, draw 23%, La Solana 11%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Illescas to win (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Illescas 1–0 La Solana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Illescas66%fair 1.52 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.40
La Solana11%fair 8.96 · @6.50
2.30Expected goals
1.74Illescas xG
0.56La Solana xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Illescas 1.7 – 0.6 La Solana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Illescas to win✓
66%
1.52
1.50
Double chance
Illescas or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Illescas (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Illescas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Illescas to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Illescas ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Illescas / FT Illescas✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.77
–
Recent results
Illescas – last 6
WWDDWL
3 Oct
@ Noblejas
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Villarrubia
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Quintanar del Rey
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Socuéllamos
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Tarancón
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Pozuelo Alarcón
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
La Solana – last 6
LLWLLL
3 Oct
vs Villarrobledo
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ Toledo
0–4
L
19 Sep
vs San Clemente
4–0
W
13 Sep
@ Almansa
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs Manchego
0–1
L
2 Apr
vs Villarrobledo
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Illescas and La Solana.
Our pick is Illescas to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Illescas vs La Solana?
On our numbers Illescas have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and La Solana 11%.
How many goals will there be in Illescas vs La Solana?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Illescas vs La Solana?
Our predicted score is Illescas 1–0 La Solana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Illescas vs La Solana?
Illescas vs La Solana (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
